We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

SM:NYSESM Energy Company Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time

$33.77

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

SM Energy is trading at $33.77, comfortably above its 20‑day ($31.36), 50‑day ($29.99) and 200‑day ($24.13) moving averages, with a bullish MACD and an RSI of 62 indicating continued momentum. Valuation metrics are attractive: a trailing P/E of 14.2 versus an industry average of 21.6, a price‑to‑book of 0.8 and a dividend yield of 2.43% with a 43% payout ratio. Fundamentally, the company posted a 73% revenue growth rate and a forward EPS estimate of $7.76, suggesting significant earnings upside. However, the balance sheet is strained, featuring a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 124.6 and a negative operating margin of -4.7%, raising concerns about leverage. The DCF fair‑value estimate of $181 and the analyst consensus target of $39.5 imply upside potential, but the extreme greed market sentiment (91.75) may be inflating short‑term expectations. Liquidity appears solid with stable volume and a market cap of $8.1 B, while the beta of –0.20 suggests limited correlation to broader market moves. Overall, the stock presents a blend of growth catalysts and value appeal, tempered by high debt and sector volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (price above SMAs, MACD bullish)
  • Strong dividend yield with moderate payout
  • Current price near support but volatility remains high

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Robust revenue growth of 73% and forward EPS upside
  • Undervalued valuation relative to peers (low P/E, low P/B)
  • Analyst consensus target indicating ~15% upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term commodity price exposure in multiple U.S. basins
  • Positive free cash flow supporting debt reduction
  • Potential for dividend growth if leverage is managed

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth73.00%
Profit Margin3.62%
P/E Ratio14.2
ROE2.32%
ROA2.94%
Debt/Equity124.61
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$2.2B
Free Cash Flow$1.4B
Industry P/E21.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI62.7
Support$26.82
Resistance$35.88
MA 20$31.36
MA 50$30.00
MA 200$24.13
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.75

Valuation

Fair Value$180.99
Target Price$40.43
Upside/Downside19.72%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.43%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.20
Volatility54.65%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.