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SM:NYSESM Energy Company Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time

$37.18

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At $37.18, SM Energy Company shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 18.9%. With RSI at 65.3 the momentum picture is approaching overbought, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at $28.20 and resistance at $38.25.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 6.5 sits below the sector average of 21.6. Analyst price targets sit 10.6% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 176.1% on a 20.2% profit margin. The 2.40% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 58.6%, a beta of -0.74 and a maximum drawdown of 39.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 8 out of 10.

Top Market Events

Updated Jul 8, 2026 0 DENVER, July 8, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- SM Energy Company the "Company" or "SM" NYSE: SM today...Oil and gas producer SM Energy NYSE:SM reported Q2 CY2026 results , with sales up 215% year on year to $2.The latest company information, including net asset values, performance, holding & sectors weighting, changes in voting...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 26.39
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • P/E of 6.5 versus sector average of 21.6
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 26.39

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 6.5 versus sector average of 21.6
  • Analyst targets imply +10.6% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 20.2% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth176.10%
Profit Margin20.15%
P/E Ratio6.5
ROE16.13%
ROA6.90%
Debt/Equity95.14
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow$2.7B
Free Cash Flow$1.5B
Industry P/E21.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI65.3
Support$28.20
Resistance$38.25
MA 20$34.03
MA 50$31.23
MA 200$26.39
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.79

Valuation

Fair Value$186.20
Target Price$41.13
Upside/Downside10.63%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.40%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.74
Volatility58.62%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.