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SLP:NASDAQSimulations Plus, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time

$15.28

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Simulations Plus (SLP) trades at $15.28, comfortably above its 20‑day ($14.72) and 50‑day ($13.63) SMAs but still below the 200‑day SMA ($15.50), suggesting short‑term momentum with longer‑term caution. The RSI of 58 and a bullish MACD histogram (+0.013) reinforce a modest upside bias, while decreasing volume and a 30‑day volatility of 66% flag heightened price swings. Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued: the DCF fair value of $17.78 implies a 55% upside, and its forward PE of 16.6 is well under the industry average of 27.4. Strong balance sheet metrics—$41.8 M cash, minimal debt ($0.5 M), and positive free cash flow ($17.2 M)—provide a cushion despite a current negative profit margin and ROE. The market sentiment is extremely bullish (Fear & Greed Index 91.2), but the high beta (1.27) and historic max drawdown of 65% underscore considerable risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above short‑term SMAs with bullish MACD
  • Decreasing volume and high 30‑day volatility
  • Support level at $13.21 providing downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF‑derived upside of ~55% and price below fair value
  • Forward PE discount to industry average
  • Strong cash position and low debt enabling investment in growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic positioning in AI‑driven drug discovery software
  • Long‑term market tailwinds in health‑information services
  • Robust balance sheet supporting sustainable R&D and expansion

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.30%
Profit Margin-77.96%
P/E Ratio16.6
ROE-38.84%
ROA3.81%
Debt/Equity0.38
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$24.4M
Free Cash Flow$17.2M
Industry P/E27.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI58.0
Support$13.21
Resistance$17.32
MA 20$14.72
MA 50$13.63
MA 200$15.50
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.2

Valuation

Fair Value$17.78
Target Price$23.67
Upside/Downside54.89%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.27
Volatility66.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.