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SLNH:NASDAQSoluna Holdings, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$1.48

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Soluna Holdings trades at $1.48, well below its 20‑day SMA of $1.66 and the 200‑day SMA of $1.57, indicating short‑term price weakness despite a neutral longer‑term trend. The RSI sits at 47, suggesting the stock is neither oversold nor overbought, while the MACD histogram is negative, reinforcing a bearish momentum signal. Volatility is extreme at 136% (30‑day) and beta exceeds 4.6, exposing the equity to outsized market swings. Fundamentally, the company reports a negative PE of –3.2, operating losses (‑1.77% operating margin) and a steep max drawdown of ‑86%, yet it holds $68.6 M in cash against $27.9 M of debt, providing a modest liquidity cushion. The upside/downside potential of 238% (target $5 vs current $1.48) and an “Extreme Greed” sentiment index of 89.86 hint at speculative enthusiasm. Recent material news highlights the acquisition of full ownership of Project Dorothy 1B and the addition of a 150 MW wind farm, positioning the firm for renewable‑powered AI compute capacity. This strategic shift could unlock new revenue streams but remains dependent on volatile cryptocurrency markets and regulatory developments. Overall, the stock presents a high‑risk, high‑potential profile where technical weakness clashes with a long‑run growth narrative driven by green data‑center expansion.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 20‑day SMA and bearish MACD
  • Decreasing volume trend
  • High short‑term volatility and beta

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Acquisition of Project Dorothy 1B and renewable energy assets
  • Potential AI‑compute demand growth
  • Improving cash‑to‑debt ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Target price upside of ~237% to $5
  • Strategic shift toward green data‑center and AI services
  • Long‑run industry tailwinds in renewable‑powered computing

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth58.30%
Profit Margin-190.87%
P/E Ratio-3.2
ROE-95.56%
ROA-19.22%
Debt/Equity24.48
P/B Ratio3.4
Op. Cash Flow$-15344000
Free Cash Flow$-34616500
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.0
Support$1.25
Resistance$2.36
MA 20$1.66
MA 50$1.44
MA 200$1.57
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price$5.00
Upside/Downside237.84%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta4.65
Volatility136.46%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.