SLNG:NASDAQStabilis Solutions, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
$5.12
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Stabilis Solutions (SLNG) is trading at $5.12, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $8.55, implying a potential upside of over 70%.
Technical indicators are mixed: the 20‑day SMA (4.30) and 50‑day SMA (4.02) sit comfortably beneath the current price, the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bullish, yet the RSI of 67 signals the stock is approaching overbought territory and the 30‑day volatility of 92% suggests large price swings. Volume is increasing, supporting recent momentum, but the price is near the identified resistance level of $5.5, which could cap short‑term gains. Fundamentally, the company reports a steep revenue decline of 40% YoY, negative operating margins (-40%) and a net loss per share, while carrying $29.3 M of debt against a modest cash balance of $3.2 M, resulting in a high debt‑to‑equity ratio. Despite these challenges, operating cash flow remains positive at $19.9 M, indicating the core business can generate cash, though free cash flow is still negative. The market sentiment is extremely bullish (Fear‑Greed Index 89.86), but the combination of high volatility, negative earnings, and substantial debt underscores considerable downside risk.
Technical indicators are mixed: the 20‑day SMA (4.30) and 50‑day SMA (4.02) sit comfortably beneath the current price, the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bullish, yet the RSI of 67 signals the stock is approaching overbought territory and the 30‑day volatility of 92% suggests large price swings. Volume is increasing, supporting recent momentum, but the price is near the identified resistance level of $5.5, which could cap short‑term gains. Fundamentally, the company reports a steep revenue decline of 40% YoY, negative operating margins (-40%) and a net loss per share, while carrying $29.3 M of debt against a modest cash balance of $3.2 M, resulting in a high debt‑to‑equity ratio. Despite these challenges, operating cash flow remains positive at $19.9 M, indicating the core business can generate cash, though free cash flow is still negative. The market sentiment is extremely bullish (Fear‑Greed Index 89.86), but the combination of high volatility, negative earnings, and substantial debt underscores considerable downside risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Price is near resistance at $5.5
- RSI indicates overbought conditions
- High 30‑day volatility (~92%)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value suggests ~70% upside
- Positive operating cash flow despite earnings loss
- Increasing trading volume supporting momentum
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strategic positioning in LNG‑based clean‑energy transition
- Potential for debt restructuring and improved cash generation
- Long‑term growth outlook for North American LNG demand
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-40.10%
Profit Margin-6.25%
P/E Ratio-85.3
ROE-5.95%
ROA-2.86%
Debt/Equity46.58
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$20.0M
Free Cash Flow$-18443750
Industry P/E21.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI67.0
Support$3.65
Resistance$5.50
MA 20$4.30
MA 50$4.02
MA 200$4.50
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value$8.55
Target Price$9.00
Upside/Downside75.78%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.44
Volatility92.56%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.