SKYT:NASDAQSkyWater Technology, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-01 - not real-time
$31.90
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
SkyWater Technology (SKYT) is trading in a bullish technical environment, with price holding above both its short‑term (20‑day) and intermediate (50‑day) moving averages and comfortably above the identified support zone. Momentum indicators are mixed – RSI sits in the neutral range and the MACD histogram has turned negative, suggesting short‑term caution, while the overall trend remains bullish. Fundamentally, the stock appears cheap relative to its semiconductor peers, posting a PE well below the industry average, but it carries a heavy debt load, negative operating cash flow, and high 30‑day volatility.
Recent market activity shows the share price out‑performing the broader tech sector over the past month and an analyst consensus of “hold” with a target price implying modest upside. However, the extreme greed sentiment and a beta well above one indicate that price swings could be amplified, especially if broader market sentiment shifts.
Recent market activity shows the share price out‑performing the broader tech sector over the past month and an analyst consensus of “hold” with a target price implying modest upside. However, the extreme greed sentiment and a beta well above one indicate that price swings could be amplified, especially if broader market sentiment shifts.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Mixed MACD signal and decreasing volume suggest caution
- High beta and elevated volatility increase price swing risk
- Price is near support but still above short‑term averages
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Valuation gap with industry (low PE) offers upside to target price
- Revenue growth and exposure to high‑margin defense/quantum segments
- Analyst median target price indicates ~10% upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Heavy debt and negative cash flow constrain long‑term financial flexibility
- Strategic positioning in U.S. semiconductor supply chain supports stability
- Sector demand for specialty and advanced packaging remains robust
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth126.60%
Profit Margin26.89%
P/E Ratio13.1
ROE95.94%
ROA-0.31%
Debt/Equity127.85
P/B Ratio8.3
Op. Cash Flow$-28966000
Free Cash Flow$-38568624
Industry P/E37.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI55.6
Support$26.57
Resistance$34.40
MA 20$31.14
MA 50$29.47
MA 200$20.96
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.95
Valuation
Target Price$35.00
Upside/Downside9.72%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta2.68
Volatility47.12%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.