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SKYQ:NASDAQSky Quarry Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time

$4.65

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sky Quarry Inc. (SKYQ) trades at $4.65, which is well above its DCF‑derived fair value of $2.84 and carries a trailing PE of 93 versus an industry average of 22, flagging clear overvaluation. Technicals show the 20‑day SMA (3.91) and 50‑day SMA (2.87) beneath the market price, a bullish MACD histogram (+0.006) and an RSI of 56, yet the overall trend is neutral and 30‑day volatility is extreme at >315%, with a negative beta (‑0.72) and decreasing volume.
Recent news of a seasoned refinery executive joining the Foreland Refinery adds a short‑term catalyst, but the company’s fundamentals remain weak: negative gross margin (‑44.8%), operating margin (‑4189%), profit margin (‑1.8%), a debt‑to‑equity ratio near 573×, zero dividend, and a market cap of only $22 M, all of which amplify risk and limit long‑term upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Positive MACD crossover and price above short‑term SMAs
  • Leadership appointment and refinery production ramp‑up
  • Extreme short‑term volatility offering upside potential

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Severe overvaluation relative to DCF and peers
  • Persistently negative margins and high leverage
  • Neutral technical trend despite short‑term catalyst

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Unsustainable debt load and negative cash‑flow profile
  • Fundamental value gap (price vs fair value) and lack of dividend
  • Cyclical energy sector risk and high volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-100.00%
Profit Margin-181.62%
P/E Ratio93.0
ROE-193.22%
ROA-23.32%
Debt/Equity572.93
P/B Ratio8.8
Op. Cash Flow$-1898184
Free Cash Flow$2.0M
Industry P/E22.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI56.7
Support$2.08
Resistance$7.00
MA 20$3.91
MA 50$2.87
MA 200$3.51
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

Fair Value$2.84
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.72
Volatility315.86%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.