SKYQ:NASDAQSky Quarry Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-26 - not real-time
$2.88
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Sky Quarry is trading at $2.88, just above its 20‑day SMA of $1.84 but well below the 50‑day ($3.67) and 200‑day ($3.56) averages, indicating a neutral price trend. The RSI sits at 57, suggesting modest momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive and the MACD signal is labeled bullish, offering a slight technical upside. However, the company’s fundamentals are weak: a trailing P/E of 57.6 far exceeds the industry average of 20.1, gross margin is deeply negative at –44.8%, and debt‑to‑equity is an alarming 573, dwarfing its modest cash balance. The DCF‑derived fair value of $3.05 is only marginally above the current price, implying limited upside from a valuation perspective. Recent news highlights the Nevada refinery’s shift toward low‑carbon jet fuel and a push to expand drilling, which could provide a growth narrative but also heighten regulatory exposure. Overall, the stock combines a technically modest bullish signal with severe financial distress and extreme volatility (254% 30‑day), creating a high‑risk profile.
Given the elevated risk factors, investors should treat SKYQ as a speculative play. The extreme drawdown of over 90% and a beta of 0.32 suggest limited market correlation but do not mitigate the company’s solvency concerns. While the free cash flow is positive, operating cash flow remains negative, and the lack of any dividend underscores cash‑flow strain. In short, the upside potential is constrained by structural financial weakness, and the downside risk remains pronounced.
Given the elevated risk factors, investors should treat SKYQ as a speculative play. The extreme drawdown of over 90% and a beta of 0.32 suggest limited market correlation but do not mitigate the company’s solvency concerns. While the free cash flow is positive, operating cash flow remains negative, and the lack of any dividend underscores cash‑flow strain. In short, the upside potential is constrained by structural financial weakness, and the downside risk remains pronounced.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram despite price below longer‑term averages
- Proximity to support level and high short‑term volatility
- Negative earnings and extreme debt load
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value modestly above market price
- Low‑carbon jet fuel pivot could improve future cash flows
- Persistently high leverage and weak profitability
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Unsustainable debt‑to‑equity ratio and negative operating margins
- Sector headwinds and heightened environmental regulation
- Lack of dividend and limited earnings visibility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-100.00%
Profit Margin-181.62%
P/E Ratio57.6
ROE-193.22%
ROA-23.32%
Debt/Equity572.93
P/B Ratio5.4
Op. Cash Flow$-1898184
Free Cash Flow$2.0M
Industry P/E20.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI57.2
Support$1.10
Resistance$3.48
MA 20$1.84
MA 50$3.67
MA 200$3.56
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.55
Valuation
Fair Value$3.05
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.32
Volatility254.51%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.