SJM:NYSEThe J.M. Smucker Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-07 - not real-time
$126.08
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The J. M. Smucker Company trades at $126.08, with its short-term moving averages stacked above the longer-term ones — a bullish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 6.6%. Relative strength is 53.9 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near $115.82 and resistance around $135.89.
Multiples put this in fair territory at a P/E of 58.9. The average analyst target implies 12.2% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 5.0% on a 2.5% profit margin. The 3.55% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 29.1%, a beta of -0.28 and a maximum drawdown of 22.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — buy in the near term, hold further out, at 2/10 long-term conviction.
Multiples put this in fair territory at a P/E of 58.9. The average analyst target implies 12.2% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 5.0% on a 2.5% profit margin. The 3.55% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 29.1%, a beta of -0.28 and a maximum drawdown of 22.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — buy in the near term, hold further out, at 2/10 long-term conviction.
Top Market Events
Updated Aug 5, 2026 0 ORRVILLE, Ohio, Aug.Packaged foods company J.M Smucker NYSE:SJM reported in Q2 CY2026, with sales up 5% year on year to $2.22 billion. Its...SJM stock has benefited from the Hostess acquisition and solid earnings, with the shares posting a s
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 106.82
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Dividend yield of 3.55% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading above the 200-day average of 106.82
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Dividend yield of 3.55% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +12.2% versus the current price
- P/E ratio of 58.9
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.00%
Profit Margin2.51%
P/E Ratio58.9
ROE3.93%
ROA6.26%
Debt/Equity120.68
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$1.9B
Free Cash Flow$1.5B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI53.9
Support$115.82
Resistance$135.89
MA 20$124.89
MA 50$119.48
MA 200$106.82
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.32
Valuation
Fair Value$150.31
Target Price$141.44
Upside/Downside12.18%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.55%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.28
Volatility29.05%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.