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SISE:BISTTurkiye Sise ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-30 - not real-time

TRY 45.80

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at roughly 45 TRY, far below the DCF‑derived fair value of over 200 TRY, indicating a deep discount. Its price‑to‑earnings multiple of about 12 is well under the industry average of nearly 30, reinforcing the value case. Revenue has accelerated at a 19% annual rate, driven by diversified glass and chemical segments. However, operating margins are thin and free cash flow remains negative, reflecting ongoing capital intensity. The company carries a high debt load, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio approaching 70, which tempers the upside. Despite these pressures, the dividend yield of 1.3% is supported by a modest payout ratio of roughly 17%.
Technical indicators show a bullish trend direction but a bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume suggest short‑term weakness near the 42 TRY support level. The RSI sits near the midpoint, indicating no immediate overbought condition. With a beta close to zero, the stock is largely insulated from market swings, yet 30‑day volatility exceeds 45%, exposing price swings. The fear‑greed index reads “Extreme Greed,” reflecting strong market appetite for risk assets. Geographic exposure across Turkey and several emerging markets adds a layer of geopolitical risk. Overall, the combination of substantial valuation upside, sustainable dividend and diversified operations makes the stock attractive for medium to long horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • bearish MACD histogram
  • decreasing trading volume
  • price approaching technical support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • large valuation gap to DCF fair value
  • strong revenue growth trajectory
  • low dividend payout ratio supporting sustainability

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • diversified glass and chemicals portfolio
  • undervalued relative to industry PE multiples
  • sustainable dividend and strategic market presence

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth19.30%
Profit Margin4.55%
P/E Ratio12.1
ROE3.60%
ROA0.07%
Debt/Equity69.19
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash FlowTRY37.7B
Free Cash FlowTRY-74658512896
Industry P/E29.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI46.0
SupportTRY 42.14
ResistanceTRY 54.10
MA 20TRY 47.68
MA 50TRY 46.76
MA 200TRY 41.39
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.07

Valuation

Fair ValueTRY 207.52
Target PriceTRY 57.99
Upside/Downside26.61%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.28%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.07
Volatility47.42%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.