SISE:BISTTurkiye Sise ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-30 - not real-time
TRY 45.80
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at roughly 45 TRY, far below the DCF‑derived fair value of over 200 TRY, indicating a deep discount. Its price‑to‑earnings multiple of about 12 is well under the industry average of nearly 30, reinforcing the value case. Revenue has accelerated at a 19% annual rate, driven by diversified glass and chemical segments. However, operating margins are thin and free cash flow remains negative, reflecting ongoing capital intensity. The company carries a high debt load, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio approaching 70, which tempers the upside. Despite these pressures, the dividend yield of 1.3% is supported by a modest payout ratio of roughly 17%.
Technical indicators show a bullish trend direction but a bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume suggest short‑term weakness near the 42 TRY support level. The RSI sits near the midpoint, indicating no immediate overbought condition. With a beta close to zero, the stock is largely insulated from market swings, yet 30‑day volatility exceeds 45%, exposing price swings. The fear‑greed index reads “Extreme Greed,” reflecting strong market appetite for risk assets. Geographic exposure across Turkey and several emerging markets adds a layer of geopolitical risk. Overall, the combination of substantial valuation upside, sustainable dividend and diversified operations makes the stock attractive for medium to long horizons.
Technical indicators show a bullish trend direction but a bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume suggest short‑term weakness near the 42 TRY support level. The RSI sits near the midpoint, indicating no immediate overbought condition. With a beta close to zero, the stock is largely insulated from market swings, yet 30‑day volatility exceeds 45%, exposing price swings. The fear‑greed index reads “Extreme Greed,” reflecting strong market appetite for risk assets. Geographic exposure across Turkey and several emerging markets adds a layer of geopolitical risk. Overall, the combination of substantial valuation upside, sustainable dividend and diversified operations makes the stock attractive for medium to long horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- bearish MACD histogram
- decreasing trading volume
- price approaching technical support
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- large valuation gap to DCF fair value
- strong revenue growth trajectory
- low dividend payout ratio supporting sustainability
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- diversified glass and chemicals portfolio
- undervalued relative to industry PE multiples
- sustainable dividend and strategic market presence
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth19.30%
Profit Margin4.55%
P/E Ratio12.1
ROE3.60%
ROA0.07%
Debt/Equity69.19
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash FlowTRY37.7B
Free Cash FlowTRY-74658512896
Industry P/E29.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI46.0
SupportTRY 42.14
ResistanceTRY 54.10
MA 20TRY 47.68
MA 50TRY 46.76
MA 200TRY 41.39
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.07
Valuation
Fair ValueTRY 207.52
Target PriceTRY 57.99
Upside/Downside26.61%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.28%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.07
Volatility47.42%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.