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SIME:MYXSime Darby Bhd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-10 - not real-time

MYR 1.43

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sime Darby Property is trading at MYR 1.43, which sits just below its 20‑day SMA (1.458) but above the 50‑day SMA (1.400) and essentially at the 200‑day SMA (1.412), indicating a mixed short‑term bias. The RSI of 48.7 is neutral, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, suggesting downward momentum. Volume is trending lower and 30‑day volatility is high at 33.6%, reinforcing a cautious outlook, and the Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed,” hinting at potential market complacency.
Fundamentally, the company posted an 8.3% revenue decline, yet maintains respectable gross (33.7%) and operating margins (29.3%). The trailing PE of 17.9 is well under the industry average of 33.1, and the dividend yield of 2.39% with a 39% payout ratio appears sustainable. However, total debt of MYR 4.73 bn yields a debt‑to‑equity of 43.8% and the DCF fair value of MYR 1.00 is well below the current price, implying the stock may be overvalued at present.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram and signal line
  • Price below 20‑day SMA
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive dividend yield and low payout ratio
  • PE well below industry average
  • Revenue contraction and elevated debt levels

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained dividend policy and diversified geographic footprint
  • Cyclical nature of real‑estate development
  • High debt burden offset by solid asset base

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-8.30%
Profit Margin13.57%
P/E Ratio17.9
ROE5.39%
ROA3.18%
Debt/Equity43.83
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash FlowMYR395.3M
Free Cash FlowMYR860.9M
Industry P/E33.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI48.7
SupportMYR 1.34
ResistanceMYR 1.55
MA 20MYR 1.46
MA 50MYR 1.40
MA 200MYR 1.41
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index85.95

Valuation

Fair ValueMYR 1.00
Target PriceMYR 1.89
Upside/Downside32.17%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.39%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.00
Volatility33.62%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.