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SIA:TSXSienna Senior Living Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

CA$22.92

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sienna Senior Living is trading above its short‑term moving average but still below the longer‑term trend line, indicating a bullish bias tempered by recent bearish MACD momentum and a neutral RSI. The stock carries a PE ratio in the mid‑40s, substantially higher than the industry average in the mid‑20s, suggesting valuation pressure despite solid revenue growth and a 95% occupancy rate reported in the latest quarter.
The dividend yield of roughly four percent is attractive, yet the payout ratio exceeds 100%, raising questions about sustainability. A recent acquisition of a majority stake in LaSall adds growth potential, but the balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with debt far outweighing equity. Overall, the company benefits from demographic tailwinds in senior care, but valuation, debt load, and dividend sustainability temper enthusiasm.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with bullish trend but bearish MACD histogram
  • High dividend yield offset by unsustainable payout ratio
  • Decreasing volume indicating waning short‑term buying pressure

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth and strong occupancy supporting earnings
  • Valuation still premium relative to peers
  • Elevated debt levels increasing financial risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demographic demand for senior living services
  • Potential upside from recent acquisition and operational improvements
  • Ongoing concerns about leverage and dividend sustainability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth16.00%
Profit Margin4.43%
P/E Ratio46.8
ROE7.42%
ROA2.88%
Debt/Equity198.09
P/B Ratio3.2
Op. Cash FlowCA$81.9M
Free Cash FlowCA$-44553000
Industry P/E25.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI52.2
SupportCA$22.10
ResistanceCA$23.97
MA 20CA$23.16
MA 50CA$22.14
MA 200CA$19.73
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.38

Valuation

Fair ValueCA$2.47
Target PriceCA$25.45
Upside/Downside11.04%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.06%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.24
Volatility22.97%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.