SHL:ASXSonic Healthcare Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
A$20.20
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock trades above its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages but remains below the 200‑day average, indicating short‑term momentum within a longer‑term downtrend. RSI sits in the upper‑mid range and the MACD histogram is positive, suggesting bullish momentum that may be capped near the identified resistance around $20.5. Volume is increasing, yet 30‑day volatility is high at roughly 25%, and beta is very low, pointing to a stock that moves independently of the market but with pronounced price swings.
Fundamentals and valuation: Revenue is growing at ~16% with modest margins, while the PE ratio of 18.2 is well under the industry average of 24.8, and the DCF‑derived fair value implies ~22% upside. The dividend yield is attractive at over 5%, but the payout ratio approaches 97% and the company carries a high debt load (DE ratio ~68%). These factors make the stock appear fairly valued with limited margin of safety, especially given the sustainability concerns around the dividend and leverage.
Fundamentals and valuation: Revenue is growing at ~16% with modest margins, while the PE ratio of 18.2 is well under the industry average of 24.8, and the DCF‑derived fair value implies ~22% upside. The dividend yield is attractive at over 5%, but the payout ratio approaches 97% and the company carries a high debt load (DE ratio ~68%). These factors make the stock appear fairly valued with limited margin of safety, especially given the sustainability concerns around the dividend and leverage.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price approaching technical resistance
- High short‑term volatility
- Attractive but potentially unsustainable dividend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth outpacing peers
- DCF upside potential
- PE below industry average
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Elevated debt and leverage
- Dividend sustainability concerns
- Stable demand in diagnostics sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth16.60%
Profit Margin5.18%
P/E Ratio18.2
ROE6.63%
ROA3.82%
Debt/Equity68.22
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowA$1.4B
Free Cash FlowA$597.8M
Industry P/E24.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI63.2
SupportA$18.26
ResistanceA$20.54
MA 20A$19.11
MA 50A$19.51
MA 200A$21.50
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueA$20.91
Target PriceA$24.78
Upside/Downside22.66%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.35%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.22
Volatility24.82%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.