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SHL:ASXSonic Healthcare Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

A$20.20

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock trades above its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages but remains below the 200‑day average, indicating short‑term momentum within a longer‑term downtrend. RSI sits in the upper‑mid range and the MACD histogram is positive, suggesting bullish momentum that may be capped near the identified resistance around $20.5. Volume is increasing, yet 30‑day volatility is high at roughly 25%, and beta is very low, pointing to a stock that moves independently of the market but with pronounced price swings.
Fundamentals and valuation: Revenue is growing at ~16% with modest margins, while the PE ratio of 18.2 is well under the industry average of 24.8, and the DCF‑derived fair value implies ~22% upside. The dividend yield is attractive at over 5%, but the payout ratio approaches 97% and the company carries a high debt load (DE ratio ~68%). These factors make the stock appear fairly valued with limited margin of safety, especially given the sustainability concerns around the dividend and leverage.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price approaching technical resistance
  • High short‑term volatility
  • Attractive but potentially unsustainable dividend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth outpacing peers
  • DCF upside potential
  • PE below industry average

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Elevated debt and leverage
  • Dividend sustainability concerns
  • Stable demand in diagnostics sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth16.60%
Profit Margin5.18%
P/E Ratio18.2
ROE6.63%
ROA3.82%
Debt/Equity68.22
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowA$1.4B
Free Cash FlowA$597.8M
Industry P/E24.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI63.2
SupportA$18.26
ResistanceA$20.54
MA 20A$19.11
MA 50A$19.51
MA 200A$21.50
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueA$20.91
Target PriceA$24.78
Upside/Downside22.66%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.35%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.22
Volatility24.82%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.