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SHEL:LSEShell Plc Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time

£3,207.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Shell plc is trading near its 52‑week high with a bullish MACD crossover and a RSI of 76, indicating short‑term overbought conditions. The stock’s beta of 0.24 and a 30‑day volatility around 22% suggest modest price swings, while the DCF fair value of ~£4,518 versus the current price of ~£3,207 points to a marginal (PE of 14.3 below the sector average, a robust dividend yield of 3.5% with a payout ratio under 50%, and strong operating cash flow supporting dividend sustainability.
Recent material news highlights the Q4 2025 interim dividend announcement and continued analyst optimism, with a “Buy” consensus from 17 analysts and Morgan Stanley maintaining an “Overweight” stance despite a modest price‑target cut. The surge in oil prices above $100 per barrel is providing an earnings tailwind, while strategic growth wins in renewables and LNG reinforce the longer‑term narrative.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in overbought territory
  • Price near resistance at 52‑week high
  • Potential short‑term pullback despite bullish trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and strong cash flow generation
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Analyst consensus “Buy” and ongoing oil price support

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic diversification into renewables and LNG
  • Stable dividend income stream
  • Regulatory and energy‑transition headwinds balanced by scale

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-3.30%
Profit Margin6.68%
P/E Ratio14.3
ROE10.19%
ROA5.07%
Debt/Equity43.15
P/B Ratio141.6
Op. Cash Flow£42.9B
Free Cash Flow£21.6B
Industry P/E20.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI76.4
Support£2,811.50
Resistance£3,227.00
MA 20£2,992.70
MA 50£2,835.97
MA 200£2,725.28
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index100

Valuation

Fair Value£4,518.98
Target Price£3,160.98
Upside/Downside-1.44%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.50%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.24
Volatility21.69%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.