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SHBBS:AQUISEUSvenska Handelsbanken AB Class B Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-31 - not real-time

SEK 219.30

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading at SEK 219.3, exactly on its 20‑day SMA and current support level. RSI is deep in oversold territory at 19, while the MACD histogram has turned positive, indicating a potential short‑term bounce. Market sentiment is at an "Extreme Greed" level (Fear & Greed Index 94), suggesting bullish bias despite a neutral trend direction.
Valuation & fundamentals: The forward PE of 18.1 is modestly above the industry average of 16.6, and the price‑to‑book of 2.52 reflects a fair premium. A dividend yield of 3.65% with a 66% payout is attractive, but operating cash flow is negative and revenue has contracted 9.3% year‑over‑year, raising questions about long‑term sustainability. The balance sheet shows substantial cash (SEK 593 bn) offset by high debt (SEK 1.65 tn), and the beta near zero points to low price sensitivity to market moves.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • RSI deep oversold indicating potential rebound
  • MACD bullish crossover
  • Support level aligns with 20‑day SMA

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Fair valuation relative to peers
  • Attractive dividend yield but cash flow weakness
  • Revenue decline offset by strong capital base

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend depends on improving cash generation
  • High debt level may limit future growth
  • Stable market position in a regulated banking sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-9.30%
Profit Margin42.64%
P/E Ratio18.1
ROE13.49%
ROA0.65%
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash FlowSEK-66344001536
Industry P/E16.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI19.3
SupportSEK 219.30
ResistanceSEK 219.30
MA 20SEK 219.30
MA 50SEK 223.71
MA 200SEK 214.99
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.07

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.65%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.05
Volatility10.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.