SGS:LSELeverage Shares -1x Short Goldman Sachs ETP Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
$1.16
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund is entrenched in a clear downtrend, with the 20‑day SMA (1.237) sitting below the 50‑day (1.316) and 200‑day (1.429) averages, signalling sustained bearish momentum. RSI at 33.6 hints at oversold conditions, while the MACD remains in a bearish configuration (histogram –0.0025), reinforcing the downward bias. Price is perched on the identified support of $1.16 and faces resistance near $1.29, a narrow window that limits upside potential. Volume is trending upward, yet daily turnover (≈3,965 shares) is modest against a 10‑day average of 193, flagging notable liquidity constraints. The fund’s volatility is elevated at ~27.8% over 30 days, and it has endured a steep max drawdown of roughly 44%, underscoring historic price swings. A negative beta of –0.76 amplifies inverse exposure to Goldman Sachs, making the ETF highly sensitive to movements in the financial sector. The prevailing market sentiment, captured by a Fear & Greed Index of 91.6 (Extreme Greed), suggests strong upward pressure on the underlying equity, which is adverse for a short‑leveraged product. Combined with a high sector concentration in financials and limited tracking error but inherent compounding decay, the ETF presents a risk‑laden profile for investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price testing immediate support at $1.16
- Increasing volume indicates short‑term interest
- Inverse exposure vulnerable to extreme market greed
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical alignment (SMA 20 < SMA 50 < SMA 200)
- High volatility and 44% historic drawdown
- Extreme greed environment pressures short position
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Structural decay risk of inverse leveraged ETFs
- High sector concentration in financials
- Persistent liquidity constraints
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
AUM$341.2K
Inception Date2021-03-15
Avg Daily Volume193
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI33.6
Support$1.16
Resistance$1.29
MA 20$1.24
MA 50$1.32
MA 200$1.43
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.76
Volatility27.78%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.