SFD:NASDAQSmithfield Foods, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time
$21.91
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At $21.91, Smithfield Foods, Inc. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 15.0%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 25.5 (oversold) with MACD reading bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at $21.83 and resistance at $26.15.
Valuation screens as undervalued, on a P/E of 8.1 with no clean sector comparison available. Sell-side targets cluster 38.1% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 2.3% on a 6.8% profit margin. The 5.70% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 25.8%, a beta of -0.10 and a maximum drawdown of 26.0%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — hold in the near term, buy further out, at 5/10 long-term conviction.
Valuation screens as undervalued, on a P/E of 8.1 with no clean sector comparison available. Sell-side targets cluster 38.1% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 2.3% on a 6.8% profit margin. The 5.70% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 25.8%, a beta of -0.10 and a maximum drawdown of 26.0%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — hold in the near term, buy further out, at 5/10 long-term conviction.
Top Market Events
Record First Half Operating Profit Reflects Resilient Business Model; Disciplined ExecutionStrong Balance Sheet and...SMITHFIELD, Va., July 30, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Smithfield Foods, Inc. Nasdaq: SFD , an American food company and an...Seeking Alpha19dSmithfield Q2: A Not So Meaty Outlook As Consumers Pull BackIn reporting its Q2 results, Smithfield...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 25.5 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 24.61
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 25.5 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 24.61
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +38.1% versus the current price
- Revenue contracting at -2.3%
- P/E ratio of 8.1
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.30%
Profit Margin6.84%
P/E Ratio8.1
ROE15.45%
ROA7.31%
Debt/Equity32.76
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$1.2B
Free Cash Flow$528.2M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI25.5
Support$21.83
Resistance$26.15
MA 20$23.31
MA 50$24.55
MA 200$24.61
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.79
Valuation
Fair Value$14.42
Target Price$30.25
Upside/Downside38.06%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.70%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.10
Volatility25.79%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.