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SF:NYSEStifel Financial Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time

$78.84

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At $78.84, Stifel Financial Corp. shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. The last 30 days have gained 1.6%. RSI sits at 40.6, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. The recent range runs from support at $78.53 up to resistance at $86.19.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 14.1 times earnings below a sector average of 16.7. Sell-side targets cluster 12.9% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 12.7% on a 16.3% profit margin. The 1.68% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 23.8%, a beta of 1.02 and a maximum drawdown of 23.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 7 out of 10.

Top Market Events

Financial services firm Stifel Financial NYSE:SF reported in Q2 CY2026, with sales up 13% year on year to $1.ST. LOUIS, Aug. 05, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Stifel Financial Corp. NYSE: SF today announced that its Board of Directors...Stifel Financial SF stock is in focus after the company reported second quarter 2026 results that exceeded revenue and...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 78.65
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • P/E of 14.1 versus sector average of 16.7
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 78.65

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 14.1 versus sector average of 16.7
  • Analyst targets imply +12.9% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 16.3% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth12.70%
Profit Margin16.34%
P/E Ratio14.1
ROE16.43%
ROA2.25%
Debt/Equity52.00
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow$454.3M
Industry P/E16.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI40.6
Support$78.53
Resistance$86.19
MA 20$82.46
MA 50$79.13
MA 200$78.65
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.25

Valuation

Fair Value$59.30
Target Price$89.00
Upside/Downside12.89%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.68%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.02
Volatility23.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.