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SETM:NASDAQSprott Critical Materials ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$34.24

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

SETM has delivered a spectacular 27.7% YTD return, more than the S&P 500, and the fund’s price has more than doubled over the past 12 months, as highlighted by the recent news of a 103% surge. However, the last month saw a 14% pull‑back, and the technical picture is mixed: the price sits below both the 20‑day (34.88) and 50‑day (36.02) moving averages, the RSI is neutral at 46.9, and the MACD is in a bearish configuration. The ETF carries a high beta of 2.12 and a 30‑day volatility of 57.8%, indicating that price swings can be pronounced. Despite these risks, the fund benefits from a zero tracking error, no premium/discount, and a modest dividend yield of 1.23%, while the market sentiment is at an "Extreme Greed" level (Fear‑Greed Index 89.86).
Given the strong demand for critical minerals and the fund’s solid expense ratio (0.65%), the medium‑ to long‑term outlook remains positive, but investors should be cautious of short‑term volatility and the recent momentum fade.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Recent 14% price correction after a strong rally
  • Bearish MACD and price below short‑term moving averages
  • High beta and elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Robust YTD performance and strong demand for critical materials
  • Zero tracking error and no premium/discount pressure
  • Moderate expense ratio supporting net returns

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Structural growth in renewable‑energy and EV supply chains driving critical material demand
  • Consistent dividend yield providing income component
  • Fund’s focused exposure to a high‑growth niche within natural resources

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.65%
AUM$675.8M
Inception Date2023-02-01
Avg Daily Volume232,330
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.23%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI46.9
Support$30.85
Resistance$38.45
MA 20$34.88
MA 50$36.02
MA 200$31.26
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Risk Assessment

Beta2.12
Volatility57.78%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.