SETM:NASDAQSprott Critical Materials ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
$34.24
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
SETM has delivered a spectacular 27.7% YTD return, more than the S&P 500, and the fund’s price has more than doubled over the past 12 months, as highlighted by the recent news of a 103% surge. However, the last month saw a 14% pull‑back, and the technical picture is mixed: the price sits below both the 20‑day (34.88) and 50‑day (36.02) moving averages, the RSI is neutral at 46.9, and the MACD is in a bearish configuration. The ETF carries a high beta of 2.12 and a 30‑day volatility of 57.8%, indicating that price swings can be pronounced. Despite these risks, the fund benefits from a zero tracking error, no premium/discount, and a modest dividend yield of 1.23%, while the market sentiment is at an "Extreme Greed" level (Fear‑Greed Index 89.86).
Given the strong demand for critical minerals and the fund’s solid expense ratio (0.65%), the medium‑ to long‑term outlook remains positive, but investors should be cautious of short‑term volatility and the recent momentum fade.
Given the strong demand for critical minerals and the fund’s solid expense ratio (0.65%), the medium‑ to long‑term outlook remains positive, but investors should be cautious of short‑term volatility and the recent momentum fade.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Recent 14% price correction after a strong rally
- Bearish MACD and price below short‑term moving averages
- High beta and elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Robust YTD performance and strong demand for critical materials
- Zero tracking error and no premium/discount pressure
- Moderate expense ratio supporting net returns
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Structural growth in renewable‑energy and EV supply chains driving critical material demand
- Consistent dividend yield providing income component
- Fund’s focused exposure to a high‑growth niche within natural resources
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.65%
AUM$675.8M
Inception Date2023-02-01
Avg Daily Volume232,330
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.23%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI46.9
Support$30.85
Resistance$38.45
MA 20$34.88
MA 50$36.02
MA 200$31.26
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Risk Assessment
Beta2.12
Volatility57.78%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.