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SEMR:NYSEState Street Global Advisors Luxembourg SICAV - State Street Emerging Markets Screened Enhanced Equity Fund -UCITS ETF- Capitalisation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time

$12.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

SEMrush Holdings (SEMR) is trading near its 52‑week high of $12.01, comfortably above its 20‑day ($11.96) and 50‑day ($11.92) simple moving averages, indicating a strong short‑term uptrend. The 200‑day SMA sits at $9.99, providing a broad base of support and reinforcing the bullish bias. Technical momentum is further confirmed by a bullish MACD crossover (line $0.021 above signal $0.019) and a high RSI of 72, suggesting the stock is in overbought territory but still riding strong buying pressure. Volume trends are increasing, and the current support at $11.93 is tight against a narrow resistance at $12.01, implying limited upside in the immediate range. The Fear & Greed Index reads 91.8, labeled “Extreme Greed,” reflecting heightened market optimism that could fuel short‑term price gains.
However, the security carries a beta of roughly 1.2‑1.5, indicating higher volatility than the market, and a historical maximum drawdown of about 35%, which underscores the potential for sharp corrections. The price‑to‑book ratio of 6.27 suggests a premium valuation, and the overbought RSI combined with the proximity to the 52‑week high raises concerns about a near‑term pullback. While liquidity appears solid with a market cap of $1.8 B and rising trading volumes, investors should remain mindful of the concentration risk inherent in a single‑stock ETF structure. Overall, the technical picture is bullish but tempered by valuation and volatility considerations. Given the tight trading range, a breakout above $12.01 could unlock further upside, while a dip below $11.93 may trigger a corrective move toward the 200‑day SMA. Investors should monitor the RSI and volume for signs of weakening momentum before adding new positions.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish SMA alignment and MACD crossover
  • Increasing volume supporting momentum
  • Proximity to tight support/resistance range

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained price above 200‑day SMA
  • Strong market optimism (Extreme Greed index)
  • Potential upside if breakout above $12.01 occurs

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Elevated beta indicating higher volatility
  • Historical max drawdown around 35%
  • Premium valuation (high price‑to‑book) and overbought RSI

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Avg Daily Volume1,498,650
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI72.1
Support$11.93
Resistance$12.01
MA 20$11.96
MA 50$11.92
MA 200$9.99
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.8

Risk Assessment

Beta1.16
Volatility1.30%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.