SE:NYSESea Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Sea Limited (SE) is delivering robust top‑line growth, with Q1 revenue up 46.6% YoY to $25.2 bn and a healthy gross margin of 44.3%, while maintaining a positive profit margin of 6.4% and generating $0.89 bn of free cash flow. The balance sheet is solid, featuring $10.5 bn of cash against $3.6 bn of debt (debt‑to‑equity 27.6%). However, valuation remains stretched: the stock trades at a forward PE of ~20x versus a DCF‑derived fair value of $61.9, implying a price premium of roughly 70% over intrinsic estimates. Technicals are mixed – the price sits above the 20‑day (106.3) and 50‑day (96.7) SMAs but below the 200‑day SMA (110.6), RSI is neutral at 57, while MACD shows a bearish histogram and volume is on a downtrend. Analyst sentiment is very positive, with a “strong buy” consensus, a median target of $138 and an implied upside of ~33%, and the market sentiment index is in “Extreme Greed” territory.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume suggest limited near‑term upside
- Current price is near resistance at $115.7 with limited upside on the chart
- Valuation remains above intrinsic estimates despite strong earnings
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Sustained double‑digit revenue growth and expanding digital payments franchise
- Analyst consensus “strong buy” with median target $138 indicating ~30% upside
- Strong cash position and improving free cash flow support continued investment
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Long‑run secular tailwinds in Southeast Asian e‑commerce and gaming markets
- Diversified platform (Shopee, Garena, digital financial services) creates network effects
- Management’s track record of scaling operations and capital efficiency
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.