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SE:NYSESea Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time

$91.28

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sea Limited (SE) is trading at $91.28, comfortably above its 20‑day (88.7) and 50‑day (87.9) SMAs but still well below the 200‑day SMA of $123, indicating a short‑term bullish bias within a longer‑term neutral backdrop. Technical indicators such as a bullish MACD histogram (+0.21) and a moderate RSI (55) support upside momentum, while the price sits near the identified support level of $80.80 with resistance around $97.80. Fundamentally, the company posted 46.6% YoY revenue growth to $25.2 bn, maintains a healthy gross margin of 44% and operating margin of 8.3%, and its forward PE of 17.2 suggests earnings are accelerating. The balance sheet is strong, with $10.5 bn cash versus $3.6 bn debt, yielding a net‑cash position and free cash flow of $0.89 bn. Analyst consensus is a “strong buy” with a median target of $135.6, implying roughly 53% upside from current levels. Recent material news highlights record Shopee sales, aggressive expansion in Vietnam, and high‑level government engagement, all reinforcing growth narratives. However, the stock exhibits high 30‑day volatility (≈60%) and a beta of 1.54, reflecting sensitivity to market swings and emerging‑market dynamics. The sector—consumer cyclical/Internet retail—carries medium‑to‑high competitive and regulatory risks, especially around digital payments and data privacy in Southeast Asia. Despite these headwinds, the company’s ecosystem synergy across e‑commerce, gaming, and fintech provides a durable competitive moat. In sum, SE presents a compelling growth story with a favorable valuation gap, but investors should be mindful of volatility and macro‑regional exposures.
Given the technical bullish signals, strong cash generation, and analyst optimism, the stock is positioned for further upside, though prudent risk management is advisable.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and price above short‑term SMAs
  • Support level near $80.8 providing downside cushion
  • Recent Shopee sales record boosting momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • 46% YoY revenue growth and expanding fintech footprint
  • Analyst target median $135.6 indicating ~50% upside
  • Strong cash position and net‑cash balance

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Integrated ecosystem across e‑commerce, gaming, and digital finance
  • Strategic expansion in Vietnam and broader Southeast Asia
  • Sustainable competitive moat and high ROE (~15%)

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth46.60%
Profit Margin6.36%
P/E Ratio35.9
ROE14.86%
ROA4.87%
Debt/Equity27.61
P/B Ratio4.3
Op. Cash Flow$5.3B
Free Cash Flow$885.2M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI55.1
Support$80.80
Resistance$97.80
MA 20$88.68
MA 50$87.89
MA 200$123.00
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Fair Value$63.41
Target Price$140.50
Upside/Downside53.92%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.54
Volatility60.68%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.