SE:NYSESea Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-30 - not real-time
$83.21
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Sea Limited (SE) is trading well below its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, with the price sitting beneath the 200‑day SMA, signaling a pronounced bearish technical backdrop. The RSI sits in the low‑40s, suggesting neutral‑to‑slightly bearish momentum, while the MACD histogram has turned positive, offering a modest bullish signal that may precede a short‑term bounce. Volatility remains elevated at over 40% on a 30‑day basis and beta exceeds 1.4, underscoring heightened price swings relative to the market.
Fundamentally, SE delivers robust top‑line growth (~38% YoY) and solid margins, with operating cash flow exceeding $5 bn and free cash flow turning positive. However, the DCF fair‑value estimate of roughly $42 per share is half the current market price, implying the stock is considerably overvalued. Recent material news highlights an AI Centre of Excellence launch in Singapore and continued insider buying, while high‑profile investors such as Steve Cohen maintain long‑term stakes, indicating confidence in the company’s strategic direction despite near‑term price pressure.
Fundamentally, SE delivers robust top‑line growth (~38% YoY) and solid margins, with operating cash flow exceeding $5 bn and free cash flow turning positive. However, the DCF fair‑value estimate of roughly $42 per share is half the current market price, implying the stock is considerably overvalued. Recent material news highlights an AI Centre of Excellence launch in Singapore and continued insider buying, while high‑profile investors such as Steve Cohen maintain long‑term stakes, indicating confidence in the company’s strategic direction despite near‑term price pressure.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term moving averages and near support level
- Elevated volatility and beta increasing downside risk
- Positive MACD histogram may limit further decline
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and improving cash conversion
- Strategic AI investments expanding digital ecosystem
- Analyst consensus of strong‑buy and upside potential despite current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Dominant position in Southeast Asian e‑commerce and digital entertainment
- Diversified financial services platform offering higher margin upside
- Long‑term investor confidence from institutions like Steve Cohen’s fund
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth38.40%
Profit Margin6.88%
P/E Ratio33.0
ROE15.25%
ROA4.77%
Debt/Equity26.69
P/B Ratio4.1
Op. Cash Flow$5.0B
Free Cash Flow$511.0M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI42.0
Support$79.00
Resistance$93.44
MA 20$85.73
MA 50$89.71
MA 200$136.74
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.27
Valuation
Fair Value$42.41
Target Price$137.64
Upside/Downside65.41%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.45
Volatility42.96%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.