SDVY:NASDAQFirst Trust SMID Cap Rising Dividend Achievers ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-30 - not real-time
$41.88
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
SDVY is trading at $41.88, comfortably above its 20‑day (41.50), 50‑day (40.89) and 200‑day (38.93) simple moving averages, indicating a sustained bullish bias. The RSI of 56.7 and a bullish MACD histogram (+0.035) reinforce the upward momentum. Support sits near $39.09 while resistance is around $42.80, giving the fund a clear price corridor. Volume has remained stable with an average 10‑day volume of ~1.71 M versus today’s 1.22 M, suggesting adequate liquidity. The fund’s 30‑day volatility of 18% is moderate for a small‑value ETF and its beta of 0.96 aligns closely with the broader market. With a 1.02% dividend yield and a recent quarterly distribution of $0.0976, income generation remains a core appeal. The ETF’s expense ratio of 0.58% is competitive for a smart‑beta product of its size.
Asset size exceeds $10 billion, placing SDVY among the largest players in the mid‑cap value space and providing economies of scale. Tracking error is effectively zero and the fund trades at net asset value, eliminating discount/premium risk. The fear‑greed index at 88.23 signals “Extreme Greed,” which may fuel continued buying pressure but also warrants caution. Liquidity risk is low given solid average volumes and tight bid‑ask spreads typical for a $10 B ETF. Sector concentration risk appears modest; the fund’s style‑box focus on SMID cap value spreads exposure across multiple industries. Currency risk is negligible as the fund is USD‑denominated and holds domestic equities. Overall, the combination of bullish technicals, stable income, and low tracking and liquidity risks supports a positive outlook, though investors should monitor market sentiment and valuation levels.
Asset size exceeds $10 billion, placing SDVY among the largest players in the mid‑cap value space and providing economies of scale. Tracking error is effectively zero and the fund trades at net asset value, eliminating discount/premium risk. The fear‑greed index at 88.23 signals “Extreme Greed,” which may fuel continued buying pressure but also warrants caution. Liquidity risk is low given solid average volumes and tight bid‑ask spreads typical for a $10 B ETF. Sector concentration risk appears modest; the fund’s style‑box focus on SMID cap value spreads exposure across multiple industries. Currency risk is negligible as the fund is USD‑denominated and holds domestic equities. Overall, the combination of bullish technicals, stable income, and low tracking and liquidity risks supports a positive outlook, though investors should monitor market sentiment and valuation levels.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical alignment with SMAs and MACD
- Support level near $39.09 providing downside cushion
- Stable dividend distribution reinforcing income appeal
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Large asset base ($10+ B) offering scale advantages
- Low tracking error and zero premium/discount
- Competitive expense ratio and consistent yield
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustained dividend track record and monthly income
- Diversified exposure across SMID cap value equities
- Alignment with market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment supporting demand
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.58%
AUM$10.1B
Inception Date2017-11-01
Avg Daily Volume1,711,970
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.02%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI56.7
Support$39.09
Resistance$42.79
MA 20$41.50
MA 50$40.89
MA 200$38.93
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.23
Risk Assessment
Beta0.96
Volatility18.08%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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ETFThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.