SDST:NASDAQStardust Power Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-30 - not real-time
$2.44
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Stardust Power is trading at $2.44, well below its 20‑day (2.72), 50‑day (2.90) and 200‑day (3.61) simple moving averages, signaling a sustained bearish price trend. The RSI of 40.9 hints at a modestly oversold condition, yet the MACD histogram remains negative and the overall trend direction is flagged as bearish, with the price perched near the identified support at $2.37 and far from the resistance at $3.39. Volume is rising, but the 30‑day volatility of roughly 100% and a computed beta above 3 underscore extreme price swings and heightened market sensitivity.
Fundamentally, the company reports zero revenue, negative EBITDA of $16 M, and a trailing EPS of –$2.13, with cash and debt levels barely offsetting each other. Recent material news cites a letter of intent to secure up to 15,000 tons of lithium supply for its Oklahoma refinery, a potential catalyst that could improve the long‑term outlook if the project reaches production, but the current financial picture remains precarious.
Fundamentally, the company reports zero revenue, negative EBITDA of $16 M, and a trailing EPS of –$2.13, with cash and debt levels barely offsetting each other. Recent material news cites a letter of intent to secure up to 15,000 tons of lithium supply for its Oklahoma refinery, a potential catalyst that could improve the long‑term outlook if the project reaches production, but the current financial picture remains precarious.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major moving averages
- High volatility and elevated beta
- Recent supply‑chain LOI may not translate to immediate price support
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Potential upside from the Oklahoma lithium refinery
- Strong demand outlook for battery‑grade lithium
- Current market price offers a deep discount to target valuations
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strategic U.S. lithium supply positioning amid clean‑energy policies
- Long‑term growth prospects as electric‑vehicle adoption accelerates
- Significant upside potential reflected in analyst target price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio-22.2
ROA-96.66%
P/B Ratio-4.1
Op. Cash Flow$-8275679
Free Cash Flow$-8084619
Industry P/E30.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI41.0
Support$2.37
Resistance$3.39
MA 20$2.72
MA 50$2.90
MA 200$3.61
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.23
Valuation
Target Price$20.00
Upside/Downside719.67%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta3.12
Volatility99.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.