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SDF:ASXSteadfast Group Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time

A$5.22

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Steadfast Group is trading well beneath its intrinsic valuation, with the discounted cash‑flow model indicating a substantial upside. The stock benefits from a strong dividend yield and a payout ratio that suggests sustainability, while fundamental ratios such as price‑to‑earnings sit just below the industry average, reinforcing the value case. Technicals are supportive: the moving averages show the price above the short‑term average but below the long‑term trend, the MACD has turned bullish, and the RSI is in overbought territory, signaling continued momentum. Volume is on the rise, and beta is low, indicating limited market‑wide volatility despite historically high price swings.
A recent acquisition proposal at a premium to the last close adds a catalyst that could accelerate price appreciation in the near term. The combination of an attractive dividend, solid cash flow generation, and a clear upside narrative makes the stock a compelling candidate for investors seeking value with a dividend edge, while the pending transaction introduces event‑driven risk that should be monitored.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Acquisition offer at a significant premium
  • Bullish MACD crossover and rising volume
  • Attractive dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation upside relative to DCF fair value
  • Sustainable dividend and strong cash flow
  • Progress of the takeover and integration outlook

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Stable earnings profile of an insurance broker
  • Continued dividend income
  • Post‑deal operational stability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.90%
Profit Margin16.13%
P/E Ratio16.3
ROE16.48%
ROA7.38%
Debt/Equity76.27
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash FlowA$530.0M
Free Cash FlowA$582.3M
Industry P/E17.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI73.1
SupportA$3.91
ResistanceA$5.40
MA 20A$4.46
MA 50A$4.30
MA 200A$4.98
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.5

Valuation

Fair ValueA$11.54
Target PriceA$5.81
Upside/Downside11.35%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.79%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.37
Volatility93.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.