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SCZM:NASDAQSantacruz Silver Mining Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time

$8.21

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Santacruz Silver Mining (SCZM) is currently priced at $8.21, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of $8.57 and 50‑day SMA of $8.38, indicating a modest short‑term pullback despite a computed bullish trend. The RSI of 44.9 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram remains negative, signaling bearish pressure in the near term. Support is identified around $7.44 and resistance near $10.42, giving the stock a clear trading range as volatility remains elevated at 72% over the past 30 days and beta is a high 2.4, reflecting strong sensitivity to market moves. Fundamentally, the company delivers an attractive PE of 12.6, a PB of 4.2, and a DCF‑derived fair value of $7.99, yet analysts target a median price of $12, implying roughly 46% upside potential. Revenue surged 81% year‑over‑year, operating margins sit at 26.6%, and ROE is a robust 35%, underscoring solid growth fundamentals. Recent Q1 2026 results highlighted improved earnings and a stronger balance sheet, while the 2025 sustainability report for Bolivian operations adds ESG credibility. The consensus analyst rating is a "strong buy," and market sentiment is in the "Extreme Greed" zone, further buoying the upside narrative.
Given the high volatility, elevated beta, and mining‑sector cyclicality, investors should weigh the upside against the liquidity and geographic risks inherent in Latin‑American operations. The stock’s current valuation appears modestly undervalued relative to its growth trajectory and target price, making it a compelling consideration for medium‑ to long‑term investors who can tolerate the inherent sector and currency exposures.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating near‑term downside pressure
  • Price trading below short‑term moving averages
  • High 30‑day volatility and elevated beta amplifying price swings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth (81% YoY) and solid operating margins
  • Analyst target median price of $12 implying ~46% upside
  • Improved earnings and balance sheet strength reported in Q1 2026

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • High ROE (35%) and attractive PE multiple for a mining company
  • Long‑term commodity demand and expansion potential in Latin America
  • Sustainability initiatives enhancing ESG profile and stakeholder confidence

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth81.40%
Profit Margin15.96%
P/E Ratio12.6
ROE34.94%
ROA14.84%
Debt/Equity23.36
P/B Ratio4.2
Op. Cash Flow$81.6M
Free Cash Flow$20.6M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI45.0
Support$7.44
Resistance$10.42
MA 20$8.57
MA 50$8.38
MA 200$8.25
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.36

Valuation

Fair Value$8.00
Target Price$12.00
Upside/Downside46.11%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.41
Volatility72.47%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.