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SCZM:NASDAQSantacruz Silver Mining Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-30 - not real-time

$7.73

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Santacruz Silver Mining is trading near a key technical support level while technical indicators show mixed signals: the price sits just above short‑term moving averages, momentum is neutral, and the MACD has turned bearish. Volatility is exceptionally high and the stock’s beta suggests it moves more sharply than the broader market, amplifying short‑term risk. Recent production news highlights a strong quarter‑on‑quarter increase in silver, zinc, lead and copper output, and the company successfully raised additional financing for its Bolivian operations, reinforcing its growth narrative. However, the latest earnings call revealed a miss on EPS expectations, with a reported loss per share, underscoring earnings volatility.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid revenue growth, healthy margins and a robust return on equity, while maintaining a low debt‑to‑equity profile. The DCF‑derived fair value sits below the current market price, indicating the stock may be priced for growth rather than intrinsic value. Analyst consensus is a strong‑buy with a target substantially above the current price, implying a sizable upside if the operational improvements translate into sustained earnings momentum.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Technical indicators show bearish momentum
  • Price is near a key support level
  • Elevated volatility and beta increase short‑term uncertainty

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue and margin expansion
  • Production growth and successful financing in Bolivia
  • Analyst target price suggests significant upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable operating cash flow and low leverage
  • Diversified metal exposure supporting commodity tailwinds
  • Long‑run upside potential despite geographic and regulatory risks

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth25.90%
Profit Margin12.94%
P/E Ratio16.8
ROE27.20%
ROA12.33%
Debt/Equity29.52
P/B Ratio4.0
Op. Cash Flow$79.1M
Free Cash Flow$15.5M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI40.2
Support$7.41
Resistance$9.88
MA 20$8.42
MA 50$9.19
MA 200$7.82
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.84

Valuation

Fair Value$6.26
Target Price$12.00
Upside/Downside55.24%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.71
Volatility83.86%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.