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SCWO:NASDAQ374Water Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time

$2.43

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: SCWO is trading above its 20‑day moving average but remains under the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, signaling a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term downtrend. The RSI sits near the mid‑range, the MACD histogram has turned slightly positive, yet volume is declining and 30‑day volatility exceeds 70%, indicating fragile price action. Fundamentals: The company reports negative earnings, zero profit margins, and a steep negative cash‑flow profile, while valuation multiples (price‑to‑book >11x, price‑to‑sales ~190x) are dramatically above industry norms.
Operational catalysts: Recent news highlights the rollout of a recurring‑revenue platform, the first commercial deployment of its mobile AirSCWO system, and improving gross margins on PFAS projects, suggesting potential upside if revenue scaling materializes. However, high beta (~3) and a historic drawdown of over 70% amplify downside risk, especially in an environment of extreme market greed.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price below key longer‑term moving averages
  • declining volume and high volatility
  • significant valuation disparity to peers

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • potential revenue lift from recurring‑revenue platform
  • first commercial deployment indicating market traction
  • ongoing cash‑flow deficits and high leverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • long‑term environmental regulation tailwinds
  • uncertain profitability despite margin improvements
  • elevated systematic risk reflected by high beta

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.50%
P/E Ratio-40.5
ROE-269.13%
ROA-101.72%
Debt/Equity45.37
P/B Ratio11.6
Op. Cash Flow$-13340069
Free Cash Flow$-10473195
Industry P/E29.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI47.6
Support$2.10
Resistance$3.06
MA 20$2.37
MA 50$2.74
MA 200$3.01
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.64

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta2.99
Volatility77.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.