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SCLS:NASDAQStoneport Advisors Commodity Long Short ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-30 - not real-time

$25.72

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Stoneport Advisors Commodity Long Short ETF (SCLS) is trading at the upper end of its 52‑week range (25.72) and has just breached its key resistance level of 25.72, while the 20‑day SMA (24.37) sits comfortably above both the 50‑day (23.32) and 200‑day (21.51) averages, indicating a strong bullish bias. Momentum indicators are mixed: the RSI is deep in overbought territory at 72, suggesting short‑term exhaustion, yet the MACD remains bullish with the line (0.45) above the signal (0.39) and a positive histogram. The fund’s volatility is elevated at 20.6% over the past 30 days and the max drawdown sits at –8.3%, reflecting a risk‑on commodity exposure. Volume trends are worrisome, with daily volume at a single share and a decreasing volume trend, pointing to thin liquidity. Despite these concerns, the YTD return of 19.95% and a “Extreme Greed” reading on the Fear & Greed Index (87.84) highlight strong investor appetite. The expense ratio of 1.1% is modest for an active commodity strategy, and the fund tracks its benchmark perfectly (tracking error 0).
Given the negative beta (‑0.30), SCLS offers a modest hedge against equity market moves, but the combination of high volatility, overbought momentum, and limited liquidity raises caution. Investors should monitor the support level at 23.59 and watch for any reversal signals from the RSI or MACD before adding new capital. The current market environment favors a careful stance until clearer directional cues emerge.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price at resistance with overbought RSI
  • Decreasing and extremely low trading volume
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish SMA alignment (20 > 50 > 200)
  • Positive MACD momentum
  • Strong YTD performance despite thin liquidity

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Negative beta offering market hedge
  • Broad commodity basket exposure
  • Attractive expense ratio and zero tracking error

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio1.10%
AUM$607.4K
Inception Date2025-11-03
Avg Daily Volume70
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI72.1
Support$23.59
Resistance$25.72
MA 20$24.37
MA 50$23.32
MA 200$21.51
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.84

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.30
Volatility20.59%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.