SCL:NYSEStepan Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time
$64.14
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Stepan Company (SCL) is trading at $64.14, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA ($58.66) and 50‑day SMA ($55.50) while still below the 200‑day SMA ($51.37) trend line, indicating a strong short‑term bullish bias. The MACD histogram is positive (0.62) with a bullish signal line crossover, and volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the upward momentum. However, the 14‑day RSI sits at 69.8, edging into overbought territory, and the price is approaching the identified resistance level of $66.75, suggesting a potential short‑term pullback.
Fundamentally, SCL posted a Q2 net income of $22.9 M (≈$1.00 EPS) after a prior loss, and revenue grew 15% YoY to $2.43 B, but margins remain thin (gross 11.8%, operating 6.4%) and operating cash flow is flat at zero. The forward PE of 18.25 and price‑to‑book of 1.21 imply a fair valuation relative to peers, while the 2.46% dividend yield and 75% payout ratio are attractive but may be strained by a modest cash balance ($113 M) versus $563 M debt. The upside/downside estimate of +16.9% reflects the market’s optimism under an “Extreme Greed” sentiment, yet the negative ROE (‑0.2%) and high debt‑to‑equity (≈46%) underscore underlying financial risk.
Fundamentally, SCL posted a Q2 net income of $22.9 M (≈$1.00 EPS) after a prior loss, and revenue grew 15% YoY to $2.43 B, but margins remain thin (gross 11.8%, operating 6.4%) and operating cash flow is flat at zero. The forward PE of 18.25 and price‑to‑book of 1.21 imply a fair valuation relative to peers, while the 2.46% dividend yield and 75% payout ratio are attractive but may be strained by a modest cash balance ($113 M) versus $563 M debt. The upside/downside estimate of +16.9% reflects the market’s optimism under an “Extreme Greed” sentiment, yet the negative ROE (‑0.2%) and high debt‑to‑equity (≈46%) underscore underlying financial risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators (MACD, rising volume)
- RSI near overbought and price near resistance
- Recent earnings beat but thin profit margins
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- 15% revenue growth and margin recovery
- Reasonable forward PE and attractive dividend yield
- Project Catalyst cost‑saving initiatives boosting earnings
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Cyclical basic‑materials exposure
- High debt level relative to cash and negative ROE
- Sustained dividend but potential payout sustainability concerns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth15.00%
Profit Margin-0.11%
P/E Ratio18.2
ROE-0.22%
ROA2.10%
Debt/Equity46.45
P/B Ratio1.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI69.8
Support$54.60
Resistance$66.75
MA 20$58.66
MA 50$55.50
MA 200$51.37
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
Target Price$75.00
Upside/Downside16.93%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.46%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.68
Volatility44.75%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.