SCHW:NYSECharles Schwab Corporation (The) Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time
$94.38
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
SCHW is trading just above its 20‑day simple moving average while the 20‑day SMA sits slightly below the market price, suggesting limited upside momentum. The 14‑day RSI is in the low‑40s, indicating the stock is not overbought nor oversold, and the MACD histogram is positive, giving a modest bullish signal despite a neutral overall trend. Volatility over the past 30 days is high at roughly 33%, but the beta of under 1 points to lower systematic risk than the market, and the Fear & Greed Index shows “Extreme Greed,” implying bullish sentiment may be overstretched. The dividend yield of about 1.3% with a modest payout ratio under 25% supports a sustainable income stream. Fundamentally, revenue grew nearly 19% YoY, margins remain exceptionally high, and cash balances dwarf total debt, creating a strong balance‑sheet cushion. The discounted cash‑flow model values SCHW near $133, implying a sizable discount to the current price and an upside potential of roughly 28% versus analyst targets. Recent client‑asset growth of 18% YoY and net new assets of $27.8 billion underscore the firm’s growth engine. Analyst consensus remains a “Buy,” reinforcing the undervalued narrative.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Technical support near current price
- Positive MACD histogram
- Sustainable dividend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and high margins
- Robust cash position relative to debt
- Analyst consensus and target price upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Continued client‑asset inflows
- Undervalued DCF fair value
- Stable dividend with low payout ratio
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.90%
Profit Margin37.00%
P/E Ratio20.3
ROE18.10%
ROA1.82%
Debt/Equity115.32
P/B Ratio3.9
Op. Cash Flow$9.3B
Industry P/E17.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI42.1
Support$91.28
Resistance$107.50
MA 20$95.64
MA 50$99.77
MA 200$95.10
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index100
Valuation
Fair Value$133.07
Target Price$120.68
Upside/Downside27.87%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.34%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.84
Volatility33.02%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.