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SAND:OMXSTOSandvik AB Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-09 - not real-time

$1,646.54

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) is trading at $1,646.54, comfortably above its 20‑day (1,562.6), 50‑day (1,221.3) and 200‑day (546.2) moving averages, indicating a bullish price trend. However, the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, while the RSI sits at 58.7, suggesting the rally may be losing momentum. The stock exhibits extreme market optimism (Fear & Greed Index 85.95 – “Extreme Greed”), but its valuation appears stretched: a trailing P/E of 56.3 far exceeds the industry average of 36, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $567 is dramatically lower than the current price, flagging potential overvaluation. On the fundamentals side, Sandisk delivers strong profitability (ROE 39%, operating margin ~70%) and a robust cash position ($3.74 B) versus modest debt ($0.21 B), while forward earnings expectations are bullish (forward EPS $183.0, forward P/E 9). Volume has been trending down, and volatility is high at 96% over the past 30 days, compounded by a high beta of 3.66, indicating sensitivity to market swings.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD signal despite bullish price trend
  • Elevated valuation metrics (high P/E, price/book)
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash flow and low debt supporting financial flexibility
  • High ROE and operating margins indicating competitive advantage
  • Analyst consensus (Buy) and forward P/E of ~9 suggesting earnings upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand growth for NAND flash and solid‑state storage
  • Robust profitability and cash generation sustaining reinvestment
  • Diversified geographic footprint mitigating single‑region risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth251.00%
Profit Margin34.19%
P/E Ratio56.3
ROE39.30%
ROA22.82%
Debt/Equity1.50
P/B Ratio17.7
Op. Cash Flow$4.6B
Free Cash Flow$2.3B
Industry P/E36.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI58.7
Support$1,277.33
Resistance$1,861.00
MA 20$1,562.62
MA 50$1,221.27
MA 200$546.24
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index85.95

Valuation

Fair Value$567.35
Target Price$1,751.32
Upside/Downside6.36%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta3.66
Volatility96.29%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.