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RVT:NYSERoyce Small-Cap Trust, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-05 - not real-time

$17.65

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

RVT is trading at $17.65, comfortably below its 20‑day SMA of 18.29 and 50‑day SMA of 17.98 but still above the 200‑day SMA of 16.93, suggesting a longer‑term bullish bias despite short‑term pressure. The RSI of 38.6 hints at modest oversold conditions, while a bearish MACD histogram reinforces the near‑term downside risk. Nevertheless, the fund boasts a robust 7.93% dividend yield, a trailing P/E of just 6.1, and a price‑to‑book near parity, indicating strong value characteristics. Volume is accelerating (daily volume 297k vs 10‑day average 160k), and the fund trades at a neutral discount/premium, reinforcing liquidity. Market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone (Fear & Greed Index 88.7), and the recent $0.31 quarterly distribution adds to the income appeal.
Overall, RVT presents a mixed picture: solid fundamentals and attractive yield offset by short‑term technical weakness and elevated volatility (18.6% 30‑day). Investors should weigh the high income and value metrics against the modest bearish technical signals and beta of ~1.2, which suggests higher sensitivity to market swings.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price testing support at $17.51
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • High dividend yield supporting demand

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Value metrics (P/E 6.1, P/B ~1.0)
  • Increasing volume indicating accumulating interest
  • Stable discount/premium and strong income

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained dividend distribution
  • Long‑term bullish trend above 200‑day SMA
  • Moderate beta and manageable volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Closed-End Fund Metrics

Market Price17.65
Discount/Premium0.00%
Discount TrendStable

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI38.6
Support$17.51
Resistance$18.88
MA 20$18.29
MA 50$17.98
MA 200$16.93
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.71

Risk Assessment

Beta1.15
Volatility18.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.