RVSN:NASDAQRail Vision Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
$4.36
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Rail Vision’s stock sits at $4.36, well below its 20‑day (4.97) and 50‑day (6.71) SMA, and even far under the 200‑day SMA of 199.71, indicating a strong bearish trend. The RSI of 21.8 signals oversold conditions, while the MACD shows a bullish histogram (+0.16) despite a negative MACD line, suggesting a potential reversal. The company’s financials are weak: revenue is modest ($1.48 M) with 131% growth, but operating margins are negative (‑4.8%) and there is no profit, leading to a –99% max drawdown and a negative forward P/E (‑2.08). However, the price‑to‑book (0.43) and price‑to‑sales (6.43) ratios are low, and the upside/downside potential is 129%, suggesting the stock may be undervalued.
Recent announcements of a non‑binding MOU with Railserve to expand collaborations and the successful integration of quantum error‑correction technology by its subsidiary add a layer of strategic growth potential. Yet, the market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 89.82) and the high volatility (≈70%) and beta (2.74) amplify risk, making the near‑term outlook uncertain while the long‑term prospects hinge on the successful rollout of AI‑based railway safety solutions.
Recent announcements of a non‑binding MOU with Railserve to expand collaborations and the successful integration of quantum error‑correction technology by its subsidiary add a layer of strategic growth potential. Yet, the market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 89.82) and the high volatility (≈70%) and beta (2.74) amplify risk, making the near‑term outlook uncertain while the long‑term prospects hinge on the successful rollout of AI‑based railway safety solutions.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical trend (SMA, volume)
- High volatility and beta
- Negative operating margins and earnings
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Oversold RSI and low P/B ratio
- MOU with Railserve expanding market footprint
- Quantum integration milestone
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential 129% upside
- Robust cash reserve vs. low debt
- Future AI‑driven railway safety demand
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth131.90%
P/E Ratio-2.1
ROE-58.37%
ROA-34.00%
Debt/Equity1.22
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash Flow$-9122000
Free Cash Flow$-5886625
Industry P/E30.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI21.8
Support$4.20
Resistance$6.55
MA 20$4.97
MA 50$6.71
MA 200$199.71
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.82
Valuation
Target Price$10.00
Upside/Downside129.36%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta2.74
Volatility69.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.