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RUSHB:NASDAQRush Enterprises, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

$64.15

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Rush Enterprises reported Q1 2026 revenue of $1.68 billion, a modest decline but still sizable for its niche. Net income came in at $61.5 million, translating to earnings per diluted share of $0.77 and an absorption ratio of 126.9%, indicating healthy dealer utilization. The board declared a cash dividend of $0.19 per share, reinforcing the current dividend yield of roughly 1.2%. On the market side, the stock trades at $64.15, comfortably above the calculated support level of $63.04 but well below the 52‑week high of $79.13. Technical indicators show the 20‑day SMA at $68.59 and the 50‑day SMA at $67.51, both sitting above the current price, suggesting short‑term pressure. However, the 200‑day SMA of $60.06 remains beneath the price, and the overall trend direction is flagged as bullish. Momentum is mixed: the RSI at 39 hints at near‑oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram is negative, signalling bearish momentum in the near term. Volume has been decreasing, which could limit upside momentum but also reduces the risk of sharp sell‑offs.
Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 19.4 and a price‑to‑book of 2.19, yet the discounted cash‑flow fair value of $45.27 is substantially lower than the market price, pointing to potential overvaluation. The company’s debt‑to‑equity ratio of 62.7% and solid operating cash flow of $768 million support dividend sustainability, making the payout ratio of 22.7% appear manageable. With a beta of roughly 0.98 and 30‑day volatility of 38%, the stock exhibits market‑average systematic risk but heightened short‑term price swings. Given the cyclical nature of the auto‑truck dealership sector and the modest revenue contraction of –9%, investors should weigh the dividend appeal against the valuation gap and economic sensitivity.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near support level
  • bearish MACD momentum
  • dividend payout confirmed

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • bullish long‑term trend above 200‑day SMA
  • stable cash flow and sustainable dividend
  • potential upside to resistance near $79

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • DCF suggests significant overvaluation
  • revenue decline and cyclical exposure
  • steady dividend provides income focus

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-9.00%
Profit Margin3.65%
P/E Ratio19.4
ROE11.93%
ROA5.22%
Debt/Equity62.65
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow$768.7M
Free Cash Flow$367.3M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI39.3
Support$63.04
Resistance$79.13
MA 20$68.59
MA 50$67.51
MA 200$60.06
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.54

Valuation

Fair Value$45.27
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.16%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.98
Volatility37.77%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.