RUSHA:NASDAQRush Enterprises, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-29 - not real-time
$75.31
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Rush Enterprises (RUSHA) is trading at $75.31, comfortably above its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs ($71.18 and $69.08) and the 200‑day SMA ($59.14), while the MACD histogram remains positive, indicating a bullish momentum. However, the RSI sits at 66.9, edging toward overbought territory, and the stock is approaching a key resistance level near $76.99, suggesting limited upside in the immediate term. Volatility is elevated at roughly 28.6% over the past 30 days, and the Fear & Greed Index registers “Extreme Greed,” reflecting strong short‑term optimism that could reverse quickly. The recent Q1 earnings beat estimates with EPS of $0.77 and a declared dividend of $0.19 per share, yet revenue fell 9% year‑over‑year to $1.68 billion, highlighting underlying demand weakness.
Fundamentally, the company posts modest profitability (operating margin 5.2%, profit margin 3.5%) and a respectable ROE of 12.1%, but carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 64.8% and a DCF‑derived fair value of $51, implying the market is pricing in significant growth expectations. The forward PE of 16.6 and a price‑to‑sales multiple of 0.79 suggest relative cheapness on a value basis, while analysts collectively rate the stock as a “strong buy” with a median price target of $81.5, indicating about 7‑8% upside potential.
Fundamentally, the company posts modest profitability (operating margin 5.2%, profit margin 3.5%) and a respectable ROE of 12.1%, but carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 64.8% and a DCF‑derived fair value of $51, implying the market is pricing in significant growth expectations. The forward PE of 16.6 and a price‑to‑sales multiple of 0.79 suggest relative cheapness on a value basis, while analysts collectively rate the stock as a “strong buy” with a median price target of $81.5, indicating about 7‑8% upside potential.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price nearing technical resistance at $76.99
- RSI approaching overbought levels
- Recent earnings beat supports stability
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward earnings growth reflected in forward PE of 16.6
- Attractive price‑to‑sales ratio and modest upside to target price
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Market‑leading position in North American commercial vehicle retail
- Consistent cash flow generation and dividend sustainability
- Long‑term demand for commercial fleet services
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-11.80%
Profit Margin3.55%
P/E Ratio23.0
ROE12.13%
ROA5.43%
Debt/Equity64.81
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash Flow$861.8M
Free Cash Flow$389.2M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI67.0
Support$64.20
Resistance$76.99
MA 20$71.18
MA 50$69.08
MA 200$59.14
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.59
Valuation
Fair Value$51.03
Target Price$81.00
Upside/Downside7.56%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.00%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.97
Volatility28.65%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.