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RUNN:NASDAQRunning Oak Efficient Growth ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-29 - not real-time

$32.97

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

RUNN is trading at $32.97, marginally below its 20‑day SMA of $33.12 and its 50‑day SMA of $33.19, signaling short‑term weakness. The 200‑day SMA sits at $33.83, further underscoring a broader downtrend. Technical momentum is bearish, with the MACD histogram turning negative and the MACD line just under its signal line. RSI at 46.6 points to a neutral stance, offering little immediate upside momentum. The ETF is hovering near the identified support level of $31.66, while resistance caps near $34.16. Volume is on an increasing trend, and the market sentiment index reads Extreme Greed at 89.6, suggesting heightened risk appetite that could amplify price swings.
On the fundamentals side, RUNN’s beta of 0.75 points to lower volatility than the broader market. The expense ratio of 0.58% is modest for an actively managed growth fund. Tracking error is effectively zero, meaning the ETF closely follows its benchmark. A max drawdown of just over 10% and a 30‑day volatility of 14.3% indicate manageable risk for mid‑cap exposure. The fund’s dividend yield of 0.57% provides a small income buffer. With an inception date of June 2023, the ETF is still early‑stage but shows disciplined risk controls, supporting a balanced risk profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Approaching key support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Increasing volume trend
  • Low beta indicating modest volatility
  • Extreme greed sentiment may fuel a rebound

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Zero tracking error and disciplined benchmark tracking
  • Reasonable expense ratio for growth exposure
  • Low beta and manageable drawdown support long‑term stability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.58%
AUM$359.8M
Inception Date2023-06-07
Avg Daily Volume63,580
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.57%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI46.6
Support$31.66
Resistance$34.16
MA 20$33.12
MA 50$33.19
MA 200$33.83
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.59

Risk Assessment

Beta0.75
Volatility14.27%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.