RUN:NASDAQSunrun Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-31 - not real-time
$8.67
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Sunrun Inc. is bearish at $8.66, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. It has lost 24.3% over the past 30 days. With RSI at 35.4 the momentum picture is approaching oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at $8.58 and resistance at $11.19.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 5.9 versus a 35.6 sector average, below the peer group. Analyst price targets sit 84.3% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 52.8% on a 11.6% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 67.1%, a beta of 2.79 and a maximum drawdown of 59.5%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 1/10 conviction.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 5.9 versus a 35.6 sector average, below the peer group. Analyst price targets sit 84.3% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 52.8% on a 11.6% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 67.1%, a beta of 2.79 and a maximum drawdown of 59.5%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 1/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
SAN FRANCISCO AP — SAN FRANCISCO AP — Sunrun Inc.Residential solar energy company Sunrun NASDAQ:RUN reported revenue ahead of Wall Street’s expectations in Q2 CY2026,...Sunrun’s latest internal fair value estimate has shifted from US$18.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 14.70
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 5.9 versus sector average of 35.6
- Trading below the 200-day average of 14.70
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 5.9 versus sector average of 35.6
- Analyst targets imply +84.3% versus the current price
- Negative return on equity of -19.9%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth52.80%
Profit Margin11.59%
P/E Ratio5.9
ROE-19.86%
ROA0.26%
Debt/Equity292.51
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$-200131008
Free Cash Flow$-1971139840
Industry P/E35.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI35.4
Support$8.58
Resistance$11.19
MA 20$9.60
MA 50$10.99
MA 200$14.70
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.38
Valuation
Target Price$15.97
Upside/Downside84.35%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta2.79
Volatility67.10%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.