RTYY:NASDAQGraniteShares YieldBoost RIOT ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$12.44
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The ETF is trading at $12.44, below its 20‑day SMA of 12.87 and 50‑day SMA of 13.10, indicating a bearish price bias. RSI sits at 35.8, suggesting oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram remains negative, confirming the downtrend. Support is identified near $12.38 and resistance around $13.34, giving a narrow upside window. Volume is on an increasing trend, which may provide some short‑term buying pressure, but the fund’s beta of 1.20 and a historic max drawdown of -50.5% flag heightened market sensitivity. The expense ratio of 1.07% is relatively high for an income‑focused vehicle, and the weekly distribution of $0.2433 (annualized 96%) offers a substantial yield in a market marked by an Extreme Greed sentiment (FGI 89.39).
Given the single‑stock concentration in Riot Platforms, sector concentration risk is high, and liquidity is modest with daily volumes around 6,000 shares despite a rising trend. Tracking error is effectively zero, and currency exposure is limited to USD, reducing those specific risks. Investors should weigh the attractive yield against the pronounced price weakness, high volatility, and concentration risk before deciding on exposure.
Given the single‑stock concentration in Riot Platforms, sector concentration risk is high, and liquidity is modest with daily volumes around 6,000 shares despite a rising trend. Tracking error is effectively zero, and currency exposure is limited to USD, reducing those specific risks. Investors should weigh the attractive yield against the pronounced price weakness, high volatility, and concentration risk before deciding on exposure.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near support with bearish moving averages
- Increasing volume providing limited upside
- High weekly distribution offering income cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustained price weakness below SMA 200
- High beta and historical drawdown risk
- Elevated sector concentration in a volatile crypto‑mining niche
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Zero tracking error ensures index fidelity
- Attractive yield may appeal to income‑focused investors
- Persistent concentration risk and volatile market backdrop
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio1.07%
AUM$3.9M
Inception Date2025-12-01
Avg Daily Volume8,050
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI35.8
Support$12.38
Resistance$13.34
MA 20$12.87
MA 50$13.10
MA 200$16.40
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.39
Risk Assessment
Beta1.20
Volatility20.62%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.