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RTYY:NASDAQGraniteShares YieldBoost RIOT ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$12.44

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $12.44, below its 20‑day SMA of 12.87 and 50‑day SMA of 13.10, indicating a bearish price bias. RSI sits at 35.8, suggesting oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram remains negative, confirming the downtrend. Support is identified near $12.38 and resistance around $13.34, giving a narrow upside window. Volume is on an increasing trend, which may provide some short‑term buying pressure, but the fund’s beta of 1.20 and a historic max drawdown of -50.5% flag heightened market sensitivity. The expense ratio of 1.07% is relatively high for an income‑focused vehicle, and the weekly distribution of $0.2433 (annualized 96%) offers a substantial yield in a market marked by an Extreme Greed sentiment (FGI 89.39).
Given the single‑stock concentration in Riot Platforms, sector concentration risk is high, and liquidity is modest with daily volumes around 6,000 shares despite a rising trend. Tracking error is effectively zero, and currency exposure is limited to USD, reducing those specific risks. Investors should weigh the attractive yield against the pronounced price weakness, high volatility, and concentration risk before deciding on exposure.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support with bearish moving averages
  • Increasing volume providing limited upside
  • High weekly distribution offering income cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained price weakness below SMA 200
  • High beta and historical drawdown risk
  • Elevated sector concentration in a volatile crypto‑mining niche

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Zero tracking error ensures index fidelity
  • Attractive yield may appeal to income‑focused investors
  • Persistent concentration risk and volatile market backdrop

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio1.07%
AUM$3.9M
Inception Date2025-12-01
Avg Daily Volume8,050
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI35.8
Support$12.38
Resistance$13.34
MA 20$12.87
MA 50$13.10
MA 200$16.40
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.39

Risk Assessment

Beta1.20
Volatility20.62%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.