RSI:NYSERush Street Interactive, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time
$27.06
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Rush Street Interactive posted a record quarter with revenue up 41% YoY to $370.4 M and net income soaring 134% to $26.2 M, delivering a robust ROE of 34.6% and an operating margin above 11%. Despite these growth highlights, the market trades at a trailing P/E of ~80 and a forward P/E of 32, well above the DCF‑derived fair value of $19, implying the stock is currently overvalued. Technicals show the price sitting above the 20‑day SMA and the 50‑day SMA, indicating a bullish trend, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, while volume is tapering. The RSI sits at 56, suggesting neutral‑to‑slightly‑bullish momentum, and the stock remains above a solid support around $23.4 with resistance near $29.2, offering about an 11% upside to the downside target.
Recent material news includes a $100 M share‑repurchase program and a secondary offering that triggered an 8.8% price dip, highlighting short‑term dilution pressure. However, the earnings beat‑and‑raise and the aggressive capital return plan reinforce confidence in the company’s growth trajectory, even as the gambling sector faces heightened regulatory scrutiny.
Recent material news includes a $100 M share‑repurchase program and a secondary offering that triggered an 8.8% price dip, highlighting short‑term dilution pressure. However, the earnings beat‑and‑raise and the aggressive capital return plan reinforce confidence in the company’s growth trajectory, even as the gambling sector faces heightened regulatory scrutiny.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- MACD bearish crossover and decreasing volume
- Recent 8.8% price decline from secondary offering
- Support level near $23.4 providing downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- 41% YoY revenue growth and 134% net income surge
- Share‑repurchase program signaling confidence
- Forward P/E compression to 32 indicating valuation improvement
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong ROE and operating cash flow generation
- Expanding footprint in U.S., Canada, and Latin America
- Long‑term growth tailwinds in online gambling despite regulatory risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth41.10%
Profit Margin2.98%
P/E Ratio79.6
ROE34.65%
ROA13.54%
Debt/Equity1.74
P/B Ratio17.5
Op. Cash Flow$156.4M
Free Cash Flow$114.8M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI56.4
Support$23.42
Resistance$29.24
MA 20$27.37
MA 50$24.07
MA 200$20.37
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.8
Valuation
Fair Value$19.06
Target Price$30.09
Upside/Downside11.20%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.02
Volatility53.82%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.