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RSI:NYSERush Street Interactive, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time

$27.06

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Rush Street Interactive posted a record quarter with revenue up 41% YoY to $370.4 M and net income soaring 134% to $26.2 M, delivering a robust ROE of 34.6% and an operating margin above 11%. Despite these growth highlights, the market trades at a trailing P/E of ~80 and a forward P/E of 32, well above the DCF‑derived fair value of $19, implying the stock is currently overvalued. Technicals show the price sitting above the 20‑day SMA and the 50‑day SMA, indicating a bullish trend, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, while volume is tapering. The RSI sits at 56, suggesting neutral‑to‑slightly‑bullish momentum, and the stock remains above a solid support around $23.4 with resistance near $29.2, offering about an 11% upside to the downside target.
Recent material news includes a $100 M share‑repurchase program and a secondary offering that triggered an 8.8% price dip, highlighting short‑term dilution pressure. However, the earnings beat‑and‑raise and the aggressive capital return plan reinforce confidence in the company’s growth trajectory, even as the gambling sector faces heightened regulatory scrutiny.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • MACD bearish crossover and decreasing volume
  • Recent 8.8% price decline from secondary offering
  • Support level near $23.4 providing downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • 41% YoY revenue growth and 134% net income surge
  • Share‑repurchase program signaling confidence
  • Forward P/E compression to 32 indicating valuation improvement

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong ROE and operating cash flow generation
  • Expanding footprint in U.S., Canada, and Latin America
  • Long‑term growth tailwinds in online gambling despite regulatory risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth41.10%
Profit Margin2.98%
P/E Ratio79.6
ROE34.65%
ROA13.54%
Debt/Equity1.74
P/B Ratio17.5
Op. Cash Flow$156.4M
Free Cash Flow$114.8M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI56.4
Support$23.42
Resistance$29.24
MA 20$27.37
MA 50$24.07
MA 200$20.37
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.8

Valuation

Fair Value$19.06
Target Price$30.09
Upside/Downside11.20%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.02
Volatility53.82%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.