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RS:NYSEReliance, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$409.55

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Reliance, Inc. is trading near its 52‑week high with the 20‑day SMA comfortably above the 50‑day SMA, confirming a bullish trend, while the MACD line sits above its signal line, adding momentum support. However, the RSI is approaching the upper‑range at 67, suggesting the stock is becoming overbought and may face short‑term pressure near the identified resistance level. The decreasing volume trend tempers the bullish technical picture, indicating waning buying enthusiasm as price nears the ceiling.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid top‑line growth of roughly 15% year‑over‑year, healthy operating cash flow, and a modest debt‑to‑equity ratio, but margins remain thin and the forward PE of under 20 still reflects a premium valuation. A discounted cash‑flow model places intrinsic value well below the current market price, flagging the stock as overvalued despite strong revenue momentum. No dividend is paid, so income‑focused investors have no yield to rely on.
Risk considerations include moderate sector cyclicality in steel, exposure to environmental regulations, and a volatility profile above 20% over the past month. The beta below one suggests limited market‑wide swings, yet the combination of high valuation, overbought technicals, and decreasing liquidity points to a cautious stance across horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish SMA crossover and MACD support
  • RSI approaching overbought levels near resistance
  • Decreasing volume indicating weakening short‑term demand

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Robust revenue growth and solid cash flow generation
  • Persistent overvaluation relative to DCF fair value
  • Cyclical exposure of the steel industry

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Significant gap between market price and intrinsic DCF valuation
  • Thin profit margins and modest ROE
  • Elevated regulatory and environmental scrutiny on steel production

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth15.50%
Profit Margin5.42%
P/E Ratio26.7
ROE11.33%
ROA6.74%
Debt/Equity28.45
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash Flow$918.3M
Free Cash Flow$421.3M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI67.4
Support$355.92
Resistance$419.83
MA 20$390.57
MA 50$366.25
MA 200$314.82
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.04

Valuation

Fair Value$172.43
Target Price$371.86
Upside/Downside-9.20%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.74
Volatility23.30%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.