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RPM:NYSERPM International Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-29 - not real-time

$103.70

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

RPM is trading at $103.7, just below its 20‑day (≈$105.15) and 50‑day (≈$105.19) simple moving averages, with a bearish MACD crossover (MACD line $0.61 vs signal $0.82) and a neutral RSI of 46.6. High 30‑day volatility (≈44.6%), a beta near 1.0, decreasing volume, and a technical support level around $95 suggest short‑term downside pressure, while resistance sits near $113.
On the fundamentals side, RPM posted $7.71 B in revenue with 8.9% YoY growth, a solid ROE of 22.9%, and a sustainable dividend yield of 2.08% backed by a 40% payout ratio. Despite a DCF‑derived fair value of only $38, analysts maintain a strong‑buy stance with a median price target of $125, implying roughly 20% upside from current levels. The combination of strong cash generation, dividend‑king status, and positive earnings surprises supports a medium‑term buying case, even as the stock appears overvalued by traditional valuation metrics.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and price below short‑term SMAs
  • Decreasing volume and high near‑term volatility
  • Strong dividend yield and sustainable payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst consensus strong‑buy with median target $125
  • Revenue growth of 8.9% and solid ROE
  • Sustainable dividend and healthy cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent dividend‑king track record
  • Cyclical exposure in specialty chemicals sector
  • Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.90%
Profit Margin8.63%
P/E Ratio20.0
ROE22.90%
ROA8.13%
Debt/Equity92.06
P/B Ratio4.2
Op. Cash Flow$805.8M
Free Cash Flow$381.0M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI46.8
Support$94.99
Resistance$113.17
MA 20$105.15
MA 50$105.19
MA 200$111.49
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.59

Valuation

Fair Value$37.97
Target Price$128.07
Upside/Downside23.50%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.08%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.01
Volatility44.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.