ROST:NASDAQRoss Stores, Inc. analysis
Data as of Oct 13, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $226.36
- Risk: low
- 3/10Low risk
Summary
At $226.35, Ross Stores, Inc. shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. With RSI at 44.0 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at $220.10 and resistance at $239.73.
The shares look overvalued at 27.4 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Analyst price targets sit 18.7% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 13.3% on a 10.8% profit margin. The 0.79% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 18.1%, a beta of 0.58 and a maximum drawdown of 13.0%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.
The shares look overvalued at 27.4 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Analyst price targets sit 18.7% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 13.3% on a 10.8% profit margin. The 0.79% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 18.1%, a beta of 0.58 and a maximum drawdown of 13.0%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.
Top market events
- Ross Stores, Inc. NASDAQ:ROST surged after raising its full-year fiscal 2026 earnings guidance.
- Earnings hit USD 2.66 per share versus USD 1.95 consensus. Ross Stores stock costs EUR 200.90 on Oct
- Madison Investments, an investment advisor, released its second-quarter 2026 investor letter for the “Madison Mid Cap...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 219.39
- MACD momentum is negative
- RSI at 44.0 is in neutral territory
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 219.39
- Analyst targets imply +18.7% versus the current price
- MACD momentum is negative
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Analyst targets imply +18.7% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +13.3%
- P/E ratio of 27.4
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth13.30%
Profit Margin10.85%
P/E Ratio27.4
ROE42.63%
ROA12.78%
Debt/Equity70.28
P/B Ratio10.7
Op. Cash Flow$3.7B
Free Cash Flow$2.0B
Technical analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI44.0
Support$220.10
Resistance$239.73
MA 20$229.68
MA 50$234.45
MA 200$219.39
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.21
Valuation
Fair Value$128.15
Target Price$268.61
Upside/Downside18.67%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.79%
Risk assessment
Beta0.58
Volatility18.10%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.