ROST:NASDAQ

Ross Stores, Inc.

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$212.15

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ross Stores delivered a revenue beat and a profit per share that topped analyst expectations, underscoring the resilience of its off‑price model. The company posted double‑digit sales growth and maintained healthy gross and operating margins, while the dividend was raised and a new share‑repurchase program was announced, signaling confidence from management. Technically, the stock trades above its short‑, medium‑ and long‑term moving averages, the MACD histogram remains positive and volume is on an upward trend, all pointing to continued bullish momentum. The relative strength index sits in the upper‑mid range, suggesting strength without an immediate overbought signal, and the price is holding above a solid support level while approaching a key resistance near the recent high.
The dividend payout ratio remains modest, supporting sustainability, and the rollout of new stores across multiple states adds a growth catalyst for the medium term. Although a discounted cash‑flow model implies the stock may be priced above intrinsic value, the combination of strong earnings momentum, defensive cash flow generation and a defensive beta suggests a balanced risk‑reward profile. Investors should consider the upside from continued expansion and share‑return initiatives while remaining mindful of valuation constraints.

Trading Recommendations

Short Term

< 1 year
buy
Conviction: 8/10

Key Factors

  • earnings beat and raised dividend
  • bullish technical setup with price above key averages
  • increasing trading volume supporting momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
buy
Conviction: 7/10

Key Factors

  • store expansion plan adding new locations
  • share‑repurchase authorization enhancing shareholder returns
  • steady cash flow generation supporting operations and payouts

Long Term

> 3 years
hold
Conviction: 6/10

Key Factors

  • valuation appears stretched relative to intrinsic estimates
  • consistent profitability but competitive retail environment
  • low beta indicating defensive characteristics over extended horizon

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth12.20%
Profit Margin9.43%
P/E Ratio32.0
ROE36.68%
ROA11.11%
Debt/Equity84.24
P/B Ratio11.0
Op. Cash Flow$3.0B
Free Cash Flow$1.7B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI67.4
Support$190.01
Resistance$216.80
MA 20$201.82
MA 50$193.45
MA 200$161.34
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Fair Value$116.18
Target Price$229.81
Upside/Downside8.33%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.84%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.68
Volatility26.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.