RO:SIXRoche Holding Ltd Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-10 - not real-time
RON 4.53
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind USD/RON is bullish at RON 4.53, with short-term averages leading the long-term ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 1.5%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 40.1 (neutral) with MACD reading bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near RON 4.48 and resistance around RON 4.60.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 4.5% and a beta of -0.07, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: buy near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 4.5% and a beta of -0.07, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: buy near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 4.42
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 4.42
- MACD momentum is negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- 30-day volatility of 4.5%
- Beta of -0.07 versus the benchmark
Key Metrics & Analysis
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI40.1
SupportRON 4.48
ResistanceRON 4.60
MA 20RON 4.57
MA 50RON 4.56
MA 200RON 4.42
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.79
Valuation
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.07
Volatility4.46%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.