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RHLD:NYSEResolute Holdings Management Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-28 - not real-time

$139.14

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Resolute Holdings is trading at $139.14, which sits below its 20‑day ($150.73) and 50‑day ($159.70) simple moving averages but remains just above the 200‑day SMA ($132.50), suggesting a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 39 indicates the stock is approaching oversold territory, while a bearish MACD histogram reinforces downside momentum, and declining volume hints at waning buying interest. Despite these technical headwinds, the DCF‑derived fair value of $444.66 points to a substantial undervaluation, though the price‑to‑book ratio of 180.7 and a debt‑to‑equity of 251% signal a heavily leveraged balance sheet. Fundamentally, revenue grew 16.7% year‑over‑year and gross margins sit at a healthy 56%, yet the company posted a negative profit margin (-1.3%) and a trailing EPS of -$0.70, underscoring earnings weakness. High beta (1.9) and a 30‑day volatility of 78% amplify price swings, while a max drawdown of over 50% highlights historical downside risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • RSI near oversold levels
  • Bearish MACD divergence
  • Decreasing volume and neutral trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value far exceeds market price
  • Revenue growth of 16.7% and strong gross margins
  • Positive operating cash flow despite earnings loss

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • High leverage (Debt‑to‑Equity >250%)
  • Negative profit margin and zero dividend
  • Elevated volatility and beta indicating market sensitivity

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth16.70%
Profit Margin-1.28%
ROE651.59%
ROA33.46%
Debt/Equity251.22
P/B Ratio180.7
Op. Cash Flow$196.1M
Free Cash Flow$135.7M
Industry P/E31.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI39.4
Support$134.94
Resistance$165.68
MA 20$150.73
MA 50$159.70
MA 200$132.50
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.25

Valuation

Fair Value$444.66
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta1.90
Volatility78.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.