RGYY:NASDAQGraniteShares YieldBoost RGTI ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-05 - not real-time
$7.58
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
RGYY is trading at $7.58, comfortably below its 20‑day SMA of $8.12 and the 50‑day SMA of $8.77, confirming a bearish price bias. The 200‑day SMA sits near $13.34, underscoring a long‑term downtrend. A 14‑day RSI of 25 places the ETF in oversold territory, hinting at a possible short‑term rebound. The MACD line sits at –0.305 versus a signal line of –0.297, generating a bearish histogram and a “bearish” signal. Current price is just above the identified support level of $7.5 and below the resistance at $8.66, framing a narrow trading range. Volume is trending upward, with daily activity exceeding the 10‑day average, which may provide the liquidity needed for a bounce. The market’s Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed” at 93.2, suggesting investor appetite is high despite the ETF’s weakness.
RGYY is a newly launched YieldBOOST fund (inception November 2025) with total assets of roughly $2 million, limiting its scale and resilience. Its expense ratio of 1.07% is relatively steep for an income‑focused ETF and eats into the modest 1.16% SEC yield. The fund has recorded a staggering max drawdown of about 69%, reflecting severe downside risk since launch. A 30‑day volatility of 24.5% and a beta of 1.10 indicate that price swings are amplified relative to the broader market. Tracking error and premium/discount are effectively zero, so the ETF is accurately following its underlying strategy. Weekly distributions have been stable around $0.16 per share, translating to an annualized distribution rate near 95.9%, but the low yield may not compensate for the high risk. Overall, the combination of bearish technical signals, high cost, and pronounced drawdowns suggests caution for investors.
RGYY is a newly launched YieldBOOST fund (inception November 2025) with total assets of roughly $2 million, limiting its scale and resilience. Its expense ratio of 1.07% is relatively steep for an income‑focused ETF and eats into the modest 1.16% SEC yield. The fund has recorded a staggering max drawdown of about 69%, reflecting severe downside risk since launch. A 30‑day volatility of 24.5% and a beta of 1.10 indicate that price swings are amplified relative to the broader market. Tracking error and premium/discount are effectively zero, so the ETF is accurately following its underlying strategy. Weekly distributions have been stable around $0.16 per share, translating to an annualized distribution rate near 95.9%, but the low yield may not compensate for the high risk. Overall, the combination of bearish technical signals, high cost, and pronounced drawdowns suggests caution for investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- RSI at 25 indicating oversold condition
- Price hovering just above the identified support at $7.5
- Increasing volume trend suggesting potential short‑term buying interest
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram and signal line divergence
- Expense ratio of 1.07% eroding net returns
- 30‑day volatility above 24% indicating price instability
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Historical max drawdown of ~69% highlighting severe downside risk
- Small asset base (~$2 million) limiting scale and resilience
- Beta of ~1.1 exposing the fund to broader market swings
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio1.07%
AUM$2.0M
Inception Date2025-11-24
Avg Daily Volume25,420
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI25.1
Support$7.50
Resistance$8.66
MA 20$8.12
MA 50$8.77
MA 200$13.34
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.2
Risk Assessment
Beta1.10
Volatility24.54%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.