RGTI:NASDAQRigetti Computing, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is trading at $14.95, well below its 20‑day SMA of $15.34 and the 50‑day SMA of $19.15, indicating a bearish price environment. The RSI sits at 44, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive (0.14) despite the MACD line remaining under its signal, hinting at a tentative upside. Volatility is extreme at 87% over the past 30 days and beta exceeds 3.5, underscoring high market sensitivity. Fundamentally, the company reports a staggering price‑to‑book of 8.5× and price‑to‑sales of nearly 500×, with negative earnings and a forward PE of –74, flagging significant overvaluation. However, cash on hand ($418 M) dwarfs its modest debt ($6.8 M) and revenue has surged nearly 200% year‑over‑year, while a new $5 M NSF‑backed partnership with HPE and PSC adds credibility to its quantum‑HPC roadmap. The blend of soaring valuation multiples, sharp downside risk (‑77% max drawdown) and promising strategic partnerships creates a mixed picture that leans toward caution in the near term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Current price below short‑term moving averages
- Extreme 30‑day volatility and high beta
- Recent partnership news providing short‑term catalyst
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Rapid revenue growth but continued operating losses
- Massive valuation multiples relative to peers
- Strong cash position supporting ongoing R&D
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Strategic positioning in the nascent quantum‑computing market
- Robust cash runway and limited debt
- Potential upside from expanding QCaaS and quantum‑HPC collaborations
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.