RGN:ASXRegion Group Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-18 - not real-time
A$2.25
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
Region Group trades at AUD 2.25, just above the calculated support of AUD 2.21 and below the 52‑week high of AUD 2.50, offering an estimated upside of roughly 9.6% to the median analyst target. The stock’s valuation is markedly attractive, with a trailing P/E of 8.33x versus an industry average of 32.09x and a price‑to‑book of 0.88x, indicating a discount to book value. Cash generation is solid, highlighted by an operating cash flow of AUD 164.2 m and free cash flow of AUD 73.7 m, supporting a sustainable dividend yield of 6.13% and a payout ratio near 52%. The REIT’s leverage is moderate, with a debt‑to‑equity of 56.6%, while ROE stands at 10.8%, underscoring efficient capital use.
Technical indicators show a neutral market stance: the 20‑day SMA (2.287) slightly exceeds the 50‑day SMA (2.243) but remains below the 200‑day SMA (2.349), and the MACD histogram is marginally bearish. RSI sits at 44, suggesting no immediate overbought pressure. Volume is stable and beta is low, pointing to limited price volatility. Combined with long‑term anchor leases to grocery giants Woolworths and Coles, the fundamentals and dividend profile make Region Group a compelling buy‑and‑hold proposition across time horizons.
Technical indicators show a neutral market stance: the 20‑day SMA (2.287) slightly exceeds the 50‑day SMA (2.243) but remains below the 200‑day SMA (2.349), and the MACD histogram is marginally bearish. RSI sits at 44, suggesting no immediate overbought pressure. Volume is stable and beta is low, pointing to limited price volatility. Combined with long‑term anchor leases to grocery giants Woolworths and Coles, the fundamentals and dividend profile make Region Group a compelling buy‑and‑hold proposition across time horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near support level with limited upside
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Strong dividend yield providing cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Valuation discount (P/E 8.33x vs industry 32.09x)
- Projected upside to analyst target (~10%)
- Sustainable cash flow and dividend coverage
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term leases with dominant grocery anchors
- Consistent high dividend yield (6.13%)
- Low leverage relative to REIT peers and solid ROE
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO15.740987868453105
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI43.8
SupportA$2.21
ResistanceA$2.35
MA 20A$2.29
MA 50A$2.24
MA 200A$2.35
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.61
Risk Assessment
Beta0.08
Volatility10.65%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.