RGEN:NASDAQRepligen Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$107.76
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Repligen (RGEN) posted a strong Q1 2026 earnings beat, with revenue up 14.8% YoY to $194.3 million and non‑GAAP EPS 24.9% above expectations, sparking a 7.3% intraday rally. However, the company’s full‑year revenue guidance fell slightly short of consensus, and the stock now trades at $107.76, well below its 20‑day (115.73), 50‑day (118.09) and 200‑day (137.75) SMAs, indicating a bearish technical backdrop. Technical metrics such as an RSI of 39.7, a bearish MACD histogram (‑1.65) and a high beta (≈1.5) point to continued downside pressure and elevated volatility (58.8% 30‑day). Fundamentally, the firm enjoys solid top‑line growth (14.8% revenue CAGR) and healthy cash reserves ($784 M) but carries a high debt load (Debt/Equity ≈ 33) and is dramatically overvalued – trailing PE 118× versus an industry average of 27×, and a DCF‑derived fair value of only $30.95, implying a 66% upside‑to‑downside gap. The combination of strong short‑term earnings momentum, weak valuation, and heightened risk factors suggests caution.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major moving averages
- Bearish MACD and RSI indicating further downside
- Significant valuation premium to DCF fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Sustained revenue growth and expanding cash position
- High debt-to-equity ratio limiting upside
- Volatility and beta suggest price swings but no clear catalyst
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term industry tailwinds in bioprocessing technology
- Persistent overvaluation relative to earnings and DCF
- Strong balance sheet yet leverage could constrain future returns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.80%
Profit Margin6.73%
P/E Ratio118.4
ROE2.51%
ROA1.18%
Debt/Equity32.66
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash Flow$130.7M
Free Cash Flow$68.7M
Industry P/E27.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI39.7
Support$100.99
Resistance$134.94
MA 20$115.73
MA 50$118.09
MA 200$137.75
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.59
Valuation
Fair Value$30.95
Target Price$178.74
Upside/Downside65.87%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.57
Volatility58.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.