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RGEN:NASDAQRepligen Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-28 - not real-time

$118.29

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Repligen (RGEN) is trading at $118.29, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $40 and sporting a trailing P/E of about 138×, far higher than the industry average of 25×. Technical indicators are bearish: the price sits below the 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, RSI is at 44.6, and the MACD histogram is negative, while volume is trending higher, suggesting increased selling pressure. Fundamentally, the company reports solid top‑line growth of 18% YoY and a gross margin of 52.7%, but operating margins are thin at 8.3% and free cash flow is modest, raising questions about profitability sustainability. Recent material news includes heightened options market activity and the launch of a new European Training & Innovation Center in Breda, which could bolster long‑term customer support but also adds short‑term execution risk, as reflected by a 5.3% intraday drop after an SEC filing.
Overall, the stock appears significantly overvalued relative to peers, carries high volatility (≈51% 30‑day) and a beta above 1.5, indicating heightened market sensitivity. While the growth narrative remains intact, the current price leaves limited upside unless the valuation compresses or earnings accelerate dramatically, making a cautious stance advisable across time horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical setup (price below all SMAs, negative MACD)
  • Extreme overvaluation relative to DCF and industry peers
  • Elevated volatility and beta amplifying downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and expanding product portfolio
  • Potential valuation compression as market re‑prices earnings
  • Ongoing execution risk from recent SEC filing and options activity

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained top‑line growth and high gross margins
  • Strategic expansion in Europe enhancing global support
  • Long‑term demand for bioprocessing technologies in pharma

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.10%
Profit Margin6.62%
P/E Ratio137.5
ROE2.40%
ROA0.99%
Debt/Equity32.76
P/B Ratio3.2
Op. Cash Flow$117.4M
Free Cash Flow$76.1M
Industry P/E25.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI44.6
Support$109.50
Resistance$141.46
MA 20$122.01
MA 50$123.17
MA 200$138.16
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.25

Valuation

Fair Value$39.82
Target Price$179.78
Upside/Downside51.98%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.71
Volatility50.85%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.