RGEN:NASDAQRepligen Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-28 - not real-time
$118.29
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Repligen (RGEN) is trading at $118.29, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $40 and sporting a trailing P/E of about 138×, far higher than the industry average of 25×. Technical indicators are bearish: the price sits below the 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, RSI is at 44.6, and the MACD histogram is negative, while volume is trending higher, suggesting increased selling pressure. Fundamentally, the company reports solid top‑line growth of 18% YoY and a gross margin of 52.7%, but operating margins are thin at 8.3% and free cash flow is modest, raising questions about profitability sustainability. Recent material news includes heightened options market activity and the launch of a new European Training & Innovation Center in Breda, which could bolster long‑term customer support but also adds short‑term execution risk, as reflected by a 5.3% intraday drop after an SEC filing.
Overall, the stock appears significantly overvalued relative to peers, carries high volatility (≈51% 30‑day) and a beta above 1.5, indicating heightened market sensitivity. While the growth narrative remains intact, the current price leaves limited upside unless the valuation compresses or earnings accelerate dramatically, making a cautious stance advisable across time horizons.
Overall, the stock appears significantly overvalued relative to peers, carries high volatility (≈51% 30‑day) and a beta above 1.5, indicating heightened market sensitivity. While the growth narrative remains intact, the current price leaves limited upside unless the valuation compresses or earnings accelerate dramatically, making a cautious stance advisable across time horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical setup (price below all SMAs, negative MACD)
- Extreme overvaluation relative to DCF and industry peers
- Elevated volatility and beta amplifying downside risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and expanding product portfolio
- Potential valuation compression as market re‑prices earnings
- Ongoing execution risk from recent SEC filing and options activity
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustained top‑line growth and high gross margins
- Strategic expansion in Europe enhancing global support
- Long‑term demand for bioprocessing technologies in pharma
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.10%
Profit Margin6.62%
P/E Ratio137.5
ROE2.40%
ROA0.99%
Debt/Equity32.76
P/B Ratio3.2
Op. Cash Flow$117.4M
Free Cash Flow$76.1M
Industry P/E25.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI44.6
Support$109.50
Resistance$141.46
MA 20$122.01
MA 50$123.17
MA 200$138.16
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.25
Valuation
Fair Value$39.82
Target Price$179.78
Upside/Downside51.98%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.71
Volatility50.85%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.