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RGEN:NASDAQRepligen Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$107.76

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Repligen (RGEN) posted a strong Q1 2026 earnings beat, with revenue up 14.8% YoY to $194.3 million and non‑GAAP EPS 24.9% above expectations, sparking a 7.3% intraday rally. However, the company’s full‑year revenue guidance fell slightly short of consensus, and the stock now trades at $107.76, well below its 20‑day (115.73), 50‑day (118.09) and 200‑day (137.75) SMAs, indicating a bearish technical backdrop. Technical metrics such as an RSI of 39.7, a bearish MACD histogram (‑1.65) and a high beta (≈1.5) point to continued downside pressure and elevated volatility (58.8% 30‑day). Fundamentally, the firm enjoys solid top‑line growth (14.8% revenue CAGR) and healthy cash reserves ($784 M) but carries a high debt load (Debt/Equity ≈ 33) and is dramatically overvalued – trailing PE 118× versus an industry average of 27×, and a DCF‑derived fair value of only $30.95, implying a 66% upside‑to‑downside gap. The combination of strong short‑term earnings momentum, weak valuation, and heightened risk factors suggests caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and RSI indicating further downside
  • Significant valuation premium to DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue growth and expanding cash position
  • High debt-to-equity ratio limiting upside
  • Volatility and beta suggest price swings but no clear catalyst

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term industry tailwinds in bioprocessing technology
  • Persistent overvaluation relative to earnings and DCF
  • Strong balance sheet yet leverage could constrain future returns

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.80%
Profit Margin6.73%
P/E Ratio118.4
ROE2.51%
ROA1.18%
Debt/Equity32.66
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash Flow$130.7M
Free Cash Flow$68.7M
Industry P/E27.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI39.7
Support$100.99
Resistance$134.94
MA 20$115.73
MA 50$118.09
MA 200$137.75
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.59

Valuation

Fair Value$30.95
Target Price$178.74
Upside/Downside65.87%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.57
Volatility58.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.