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RFEM:NASDAQFirst Trust RiverFront Dynamic Emerging Markets ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-28 - not real-time

$91.75

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The fund is trading at $91.75, comfortably above its 20‑day ($87.19), 50‑day ($85.83) and 200‑day ($79.64) simple moving averages, underscoring a strong bullish bias. A 14‑day RSI of 66.5 signals continued upward momentum while remaining below the overbought threshold. The MACD line sits at 2.08, above its signal line of 1.59, delivering a clear bullish crossover and a positive histogram. Technical support near $78.97 provides a sizeable cushion, and resistance at $92.23 lies just a few cents above the current price, suggesting limited short‑term upside. However, the volume trend is decreasing, with today’s volume of 1,429 shares trailing the 10‑day average of 1,950, hinting at waning participation.
Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at 26.4%, indicating sizable price swings that could challenge tight‑range traders. The ETF’s beta of 0.94 aligns closely with the broader market, meaning it will move in step with equity trends. An expense ratio of 0.99% is relatively high for an index‑style product, eroding net returns over time. The fund offers a modest dividend yield of 1.99%, providing a small income buffer amid market fluctuations. Tracking error is effectively zero and there is no premium or discount to NAV, reducing tracking risk to a low level. Liquidity appears medium‑risk given the modest and declining trading volumes, while currency exposure inherent in emerging‑market holdings suggests a medium currency risk. Overall, the blend of bullish technicals, elevated volatility, and higher costs points to a balanced risk profile that warrants cautious positioning.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price just below resistance
  • decreasing volume
  • strong bullish technicals

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price above all SMAs
  • positive MACD and RSI momentum
  • dividend yield adds income

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • high expense ratio
  • elevated volatility
  • emerging‑market currency exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.99%
AUM$69.1M
Inception Date2016-06-14
Avg Daily Volume1,950
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.99%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI66.5
Support$78.97
Resistance$92.23
MA 20$87.19
MA 50$85.83
MA 200$79.64
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.25

Risk Assessment

Beta0.94
Volatility26.45%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.