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RFEM:NASDAQFirst Trust RiverFront Dynamic Emerging Markets ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-08 - not real-time

$91.52

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $91.52, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of 93.98 but remains above the 50‑day SMA of 90.51 and comfortably above the 200‑day SMA of 82.59, indicating a still‑intact longer‑term bullish framework. Momentum indicators are mixed: the 14‑day RSI at 44.5 suggests neutral pressure, while the MACD line sits below its signal (1.19 vs 1.41), generating a bearish histogram that warns of short‑term downside risk. The price is holding above the identified support at 88.95 and below the 52‑week high resistance of 97.64, giving the fund a modest upside buffer. YTD performance has been robust at +20.67%, and the Fear & Greed Index reads Extreme Greed (83.02), reflecting strong investor appetite for emerging‑market exposure. However, volatility remains elevated at 26.6% (30‑day) and the beta of 1.13 signals higher sensitivity to market swings.
Liquidity is a concern, with daily volume dropping to 1,799 shares and a decreasing volume trend, while the expense ratio of 0.99% is modest for an actively managed emerging‑markets ETF. Tracking error is effectively zero, eliminating index‑mismatch risk, but the maximum drawdown of -11.7% underscores the potential for sharper corrections. Overall, the fund balances attractive upside from emerging‑market growth against heightened volatility and liquidity constraints, suggesting a measured approach for investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 20‑day SMA
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Decreasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • YTD return >20%
  • Support above $88.9 and price stability
  • Strong investor sentiment (Extreme Greed)

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified emerging‑market exposure
  • Beta >1 indicating growth potential
  • Zero tracking error and reasonable expense ratio

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.99%
AUM$80.9M
Inception Date2016-06-14
Avg Daily Volume2,720
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.70%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI44.5
Support$88.95
Resistance$97.64
MA 20$93.98
MA 50$90.51
MA 200$82.59
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02

Risk Assessment

Beta1.13
Volatility26.61%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.