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REA:ASXREA Group Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

A$145.48

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

REA Group is trading at AUD 145.48, well below its 20‑day (151.74), 50‑day (162.21) and 200‑day (186.22) simple moving averages, indicating a sustained bearish price trend. The RSI of 35 signals that the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD remains in a bearish configuration with the line below the signal, reinforcing downside momentum. Volatility is elevated at 33.8% over the past 30 days and volume is on a decreasing trend, suggesting weaker market participation. On the valuation side, the forward PE of 26.5 and trailing PE of 33.6 sit far above the industry average PE of 17.1, and a DCF‑derived fair value of AUD 65.76 is less than half the current price, flagging the stock as significantly overvalued. Fundamentally, REA delivers strong profitability with an operating margin of 47.5% and a net profit margin of 29.3%, supported by solid cash generation (operating cash flow AUD 723.2 m, free cash flow AUD 479.6 m). The balance sheet is robust, featuring low net debt (AUD 90.1 m) and a cash cushion of AUD 478.4 m, while the dividend yield of 1.72% and a payout ratio of 57% appear sustainable. Revenue growth remains healthy at 6.1% YoY, and the company benefits from diversified geographic exposure across Australia, Asia and North America. Analyst consensus is bullish (median target AUD 200) despite the current price pressure, reflecting confidence in long‑term growth drivers such as digital property advertising and ancillary services. Overall, the stock sits at the intersection of strong fundamentals and a challenging short‑term technical environment.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
  • RSI near oversold but no clear reversal signal

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong operating margins and cash flow
  • Sustainable dividend payout
  • Overvaluation relative to DCF and industry peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent revenue growth and high ROE
  • Diversified geographic footprint reducing concentration risk
  • Strategic positioning in digital property advertising with expansion potential

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.10%
Profit Margin29.28%
P/E Ratio33.6
ROE28.37%
ROA18.67%
Debt/Equity4.30
P/B Ratio9.3
Op. Cash FlowA$723.2M
Free Cash FlowA$479.6M
Industry P/E17.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI35.4
SupportA$140.02
ResistanceA$170.86
MA 20A$151.74
MA 50A$162.21
MA 200A$186.22
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.13

Valuation

Fair ValueA$65.76
Target PriceA$194.65
Upside/Downside33.80%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.72%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.28
Volatility33.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.