RCL:NYSERoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. analysis
Data as of Sep 9, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $259.76
- Risk: medium
- 6/10Medium risk
Summary
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is priced at $259.76, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. Over a rolling month the price has lost 19.5%. With RSI at 22.8 the momentum picture is oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Watch $257.85 as support and $313.50 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 16.0, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Analyst price targets sit 33.6% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 6.5% on a 23.5% profit margin. The 2.27% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 23.3%, a beta of 1.61 and a maximum drawdown of 29.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 3 out of 10.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 16.0, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Analyst price targets sit 33.6% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 6.5% on a 23.5% profit margin. The 2.27% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 23.3%, a beta of 1.61 and a maximum drawdown of 29.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 3 out of 10.
Top market events
- Royal Caribbean Cruises NYSE:RCL has announced a new fixed-income offering of senior unsecured notes due 2034.
- Royal Caribbean RCL possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its...
- Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. NYSE:RCL is one of the Iran Peace Deal Sends Oil Lower: Top 8 Travel Stocks to Buy Now.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- RSI at 22.8 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 287.93
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- RSI at 22.8 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 287.93
- Analyst targets imply +33.6% versus the current price
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Analyst targets imply +33.6% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 23.5% is healthy
- Negative free cash flow
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth6.50%
Profit Margin23.54%
P/E Ratio16.0
ROE44.67%
ROA7.68%
Debt/Equity224.82
P/B Ratio6.8
Op. Cash Flow$6.8B
Free Cash Flow$-1516249984
Technical analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI22.8
Support$257.85
Resistance$313.50
MA 20$284.97
MA 50$295.00
MA 200$287.93
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.04
Valuation
Fair Value$210.55
Target Price$346.92
Upside/Downside33.56%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.27%
Risk assessment
Beta1.61
Volatility23.33%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.