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RALYH:BISTRal Yatirim Holding A.S. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-22 - not real-time

TRY 264.25

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ral Yatirim Holding is trading well above its short‑ and long‑term moving averages (264.25 vs SMA20 208, SMA50 226.8, SMA200 213.4) and the MACD indicator is firmly bullish, suggesting short‑term momentum. However, the RSI sits at 68, edging toward overbought territory, and the stock is priced far above its DCF fair value (223.5) and a PE of 90.5 versus an industry average of 30.7, indicating significant overvaluation. Fundamentally, the company shows modest revenue growth (2.9%), thin operating margins (2.9%), a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (38.5), and negative free cash flow (-1.8 B TRY), which raise concerns about financial resilience.
Volatility is extremely high (≈97% 30‑day), beta is near zero (low market correlation), and there is no dividend payout, further limiting downside protection. The combination of bullish technicals with weak fundamentals, high leverage, and macro‑economic exposure to Turkey suggests caution for investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and price above key moving averages
  • RSI approaching overbought levels
  • High valuation relative to earnings and DCF

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Persistently high PE and price above fair value
  • Negative free cash flow and elevated debt load
  • Elevated volatility and lack of dividend income

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Potential upside from operational cash flow improvements
  • Low beta indicating limited market correlation risk
  • Structural risks from Turkish macro‑environment and leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth286.00%
Profit Margin33.72%
P/E Ratio90.5
ROE58.19%
ROA6.71%
Debt/Equity38.50
P/B Ratio12.4
Op. Cash FlowTRY3.1B
Free Cash FlowTRY-1800081920
Industry P/E30.7

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI68.1
SupportTRY 137.60
ResistanceTRY 273.25
MA 20TRY 208.02
MA 50TRY 226.83
MA 200TRY 213.40
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.71

Valuation

Fair ValueTRY 223.51
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.10
Volatility96.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.